Ansbach 09 1-1 Aubstadt — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 31 Aug 2024

📅31/08/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.46
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
30%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.18
Over 2.5
52%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.55
No
45%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
8%
X/2
8%
X/X
10%
2/1
9%
2/2
15%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
37%
+6.3pp
27%
Draw
25%
+2.6pp
30%
Away Win
39%
-8.9pp
48%
Under 2.5
42%
+6.1pp
52%
Over 2.5
58%
-6.1pp
55%
BTTS Yes
60%
-5.1pp
45%
BTTS No
40%
+5.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ansbach 09 EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Aubstadt EU Bookmakers 43%
+24% / +20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -18%
1.82/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.26/1.64
+23% / +39% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / -17%
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 5
336 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 382 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses 23.0
Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ansbach 09
1W-1D-2L
AWAY Aubstadt
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
04.05.2024 Ansbach 09 Ansbach 09 4-1 HT 2-0 Aubstadt Aubstadt ALMBÖL
14.10.2023 Aubstadt Aubstadt 2-0 HT 1-0 Ansbach 09 Ansbach 09 ALMBÖL
26.11.2022 Aubstadt Aubstadt 3-3 HT 1-0 Ansbach 09 Ansbach 09 ALMBÖL
02.08.2022 Ansbach 09 Ansbach 09 1-2 HT 1-1 Aubstadt Aubstadt ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Ansbach 09 vs Aubstadt
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ansbach 09 and Aubstadt couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Ansbach 09 at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged both teams to score (55%), and that read landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Aubstadt led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Ansbach 09 and 2.00 for Aubstadt.

What was the final score of Ansbach 09 vs Aubstadt?

Ansbach 09 1-1 Aubstadt in the Germany - Regional League on 31/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ansbach 09 vs Aubstadt?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ansbach 09 win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Ansbach 09 43%, draw 27%, Aubstadt 30%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Ansbach 09), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ansbach 09) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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