Ansbach 09 4-1 Aubstadt — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 4 May 2024

📅04/05/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.94
Draw
24%
3.72
Away
40%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.15
Over 2.5
51%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.6
No
48%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
8%
1/X
10%
X/1
13%
X/2
17%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
15%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
31%
+5.7pp
24%
Draw
24%
+0.3pp
40%
Away Win
46%
-6.0pp
49%
Under 2.5
43%
+6.4pp
51%
Over 2.5
57%
-6.4pp
52%
BTTS Yes
58%
-6.9pp
48%
BTTS No
42%
+6.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ansbach 09 EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Aubstadt EU Bookmakers 49%
+15% / +17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -5%
1.42/1.09 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.67/1.49
+4% / +42% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / -15%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
280 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 378 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
15.0 Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ansbach 09
0W-1D-2L
AWAY Aubstadt
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
14.10.2023 Aubstadt Aubstadt 2-0 HT 1-0 Ansbach 09 Ansbach 09 ALMBÖL
26.11.2022 Aubstadt Aubstadt 3-3 HT 1-0 Ansbach 09 Ansbach 09 ALMBÖL
02.08.2022 Ansbach 09 Ansbach 09 1-2 HT 1-1 Aubstadt Aubstadt ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Ansbach 09 vs Aubstadt
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ansbach 09 cruised past Aubstadt 4-1. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 24% / 40% — and on the day Ansbach 09 made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Aubstadt led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Ansbach 09 and 2.33 for Aubstadt.

What was the final score of Ansbach 09 vs Aubstadt?

Ansbach 09 4-1 Aubstadt in the Germany - Regional League on 04/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ansbach 09 vs Aubstadt?

Before kick-off our model rated an Aubstadt win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Ansbach 09 36%, draw 24%, Aubstadt 40%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Aubstadt) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Aubstadt) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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