Düren Merzenich 1-1 FC Bocholt — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 4 May 2024

📅04/05/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.92
Draw
22%
3.72
Away
31%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.51
Over 2.5
48%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.46
No
56%
2.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
9%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
16%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
48%
-0.7pp
22%
Draw
23%
-1.0pp
30%
Away Win
29%
+1.6pp
52%
Under 2.5
36%
+16.4pp
48%
Over 2.5
64%
-16.4pp
44%
BTTS Yes
64%
-20.2pp
56%
BTTS No
36%
+20.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Düren Merzenich EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Bocholt EU Bookmakers 32%
+7% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -18% / -18%
2.56/1.54 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.51/1.73
+41% / -23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -61% / -9%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
380 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 358 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Düren Merzenich
2W-1D-0L
AWAY FC Bocholt
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
11.11.2023 FC Bocholt FC Bocholt 0-0 HT 0-0 Düren Merzenich Düren Merzenich ALMBÖL
26.11.2022 FC Bocholt FC Bocholt 0-3 HT 0-2 Düren Merzenich Düren Merzenich ALMBÖL
23.07.2022 Düren Merzenich Düren Merzenich 3-1 HT 1-1 FC Bocholt FC Bocholt ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Düren Merzenich vs FC Bocholt
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Düren Merzenich and FC Bocholt shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Düren Merzenich at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Düren Merzenich had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Düren Merzenich and 0.33 for FC Bocholt.

What was the final score of Düren Merzenich vs FC Bocholt?

Düren Merzenich 1-1 FC Bocholt in the Germany - Regional League on 04/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Düren Merzenich vs FC Bocholt?

Before kick-off our model rated a Düren Merzenich win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Düren Merzenich 47%, draw 22%, FC Bocholt 30%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Düren Merzenich), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Düren Merzenich) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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