Havelse 1-2 Eintracht Norderstedt — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 4 May 2024

📅04/05/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.18
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
32%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.23
Over 2.5
58%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.5
No
42%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
33%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
19%
X/X
7%
2/1
8%
2/2
5%
2/X
12%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
42%
+1.1pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.7pp
32%
Away Win
32%
-0.4pp
42%
Under 2.5
41%
+1.1pp
58%
Over 2.5
59%
-1.1pp
58%
BTTS Yes
62%
-4.4pp
42%
BTTS No
38%
+4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Havelse EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Eintracht Norderstedt EU Bookmakers 36%
+1% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -21%
1.61/1.35 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.14/1.95
+0% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / -19%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
350 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 340 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Havelse
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Eintracht Norderstedt
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 1
05.11.2023 Eintracht Norderstedt Eintracht Norderstedt 1-1 HT 0-0 Havelse Havelse ALMBÖL
27.11.2022 Havelse Havelse 2-0 HT 2-0 Eintracht Norderstedt Eintracht Norderstedt ALMBÖL
31.07.2022 Eintracht Norderstedt Eintracht Norderstedt 0-0 HT 0-0 Havelse Havelse ALMBÖL
06.10.2019 Havelse Havelse 0-1 HT 0-0 Eintracht Norderstedt Eintracht Norderstedt ALMBÖL
04.10.2015 Eintracht Norderstedt Eintracht Norderstedt 0-0 HT 0-0 Havelse Havelse ALMBÖL
06.12.2014 Eintracht Norderstedt Eintracht Norderstedt 1-0 HT 1-0 Havelse Havelse ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Havelse vs Eintracht Norderstedt
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Eintracht Norderstedt nicked a narrow win over Havelse 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match lean was Havelse at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (58%) came in.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Eintracht Norderstedt led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Havelse and 0.50 for Eintracht Norderstedt.

What was the final score of Havelse vs Eintracht Norderstedt?

Havelse 1-2 Eintracht Norderstedt in the Germany - Regional League on 04/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Havelse vs Eintracht Norderstedt?

Before kick-off our model rated a Havelse win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Havelse 43%, draw 25%, Eintracht Norderstedt 32%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Havelse) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Havelse) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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