Mönchengladbach II 2-1 Fortuna Köln — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 4 May 2024

📅04/05/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.8
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
44%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
2.23
Over 2.5
45%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.49
No
55%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
9%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
14%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
22%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
32%
-1.7pp
25%
Draw
27%
-1.2pp
44%
Away Win
41%
+2.8pp
55%
Under 2.5
41%
+13.6pp
45%
Over 2.5
59%
-13.6pp
45%
BTTS Yes
63%
-18.5pp
55%
BTTS No
37%
+18.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mönchengladbach II EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Fortuna Köln EU Bookmakers 45%
-12% / -27% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / -6%
1.16/2.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.38/1.18
-15% / -25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / +16%
50% Ball Possession 50%
9 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
309 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 382 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mönchengladbach II
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Fortuna Köln
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
48% Ball Possession 52%
8 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 2
10.11.2023 Fortuna Köln Fortuna Köln 4-3 HT 1-3 Mönchengladbach II Mönchengladbach II ALMBÖL
09.04.2023 Fortuna Köln Fortuna Köln 1-1 HT 1-1 Mönchengladbach II Mönchengladbach II ALMBÖL
15.10.2022 Mönchengladbach II Mönchengladbach II 1-2 HT 0-1 Fortuna Köln Fortuna Köln ALMBÖL
07.05.2022 Mönchengladbach II Mönchengladbach II 0-4 HT 0-1 Fortuna Köln Fortuna Köln ALMBÖL
27.11.2021 Fortuna Köln Fortuna Köln 2-1 HT 1-0 Mönchengladbach II Mönchengladbach II ALMBÖL
15.05.2021 Fortuna Köln Fortuna Köln 0-1 HT 0-1 Mönchengladbach II Mönchengladbach II ALMBÖL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mönchengladbach II
2-1
AWAY Fortuna Köln
37% Ball Possession 63%
13 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 1
2 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Mönchengladbach II vs Fortuna Köln
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mönchengladbach II squeezed past Fortuna Köln 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Fortuna Köln at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Mönchengladbach II had 37% of the ball to Fortuna Köln's 63%, shots finished 13-9.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Fortuna Köln led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Mönchengladbach II and 2.17 for Fortuna Köln.

What was the final score of Mönchengladbach II vs Fortuna Köln?

Mönchengladbach II 2-1 Fortuna Köln in the Germany - Regional League on 04/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mönchengladbach II vs Fortuna Köln?

Before kick-off our model rated an Fortuna Köln win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Mönchengladbach II 31%, draw 25%, Fortuna Köln 44%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Fortuna Köln) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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