Phönix Lübeck 0-2 Drochtersen / Assel — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 4 May 2024

📅04/05/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
1.8
Draw
28%
3.72
Away
37%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.38
Over 2.5
50%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.5
No
50%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
12%
X/2
10%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
21%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
51%
-16.6pp
28%
Draw
23%
+4.5pp
37%
Away Win
25%
+12.2pp
50%
Under 2.5
38%
+12.1pp
50%
Over 2.5
62%
-12.1pp
50%
BTTS Yes
62%
-12.8pp
50%
BTTS No
38%
+12.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Phönix Lübeck EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Drochtersen / Assel EU Bookmakers 29%
-3% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / -11%
2.52/1.41 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.30/1.61
+38% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / +5%
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
298 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 348 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Phönix Lübeck
1W-2D-2L
AWAY Drochtersen / Assel
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.20
2 Corners 12
05.11.2023 Drochtersen / Assel Drochtersen / Assel 1-2 HT 1-1 Phönix Lübeck Phönix Lübeck ALMBÖL
14.05.2023 Phönix Lübeck Phönix Lübeck 2-2 HT 1-1 Drochtersen / Assel Drochtersen / Assel ALMBÖL
06.11.2022 Drochtersen / Assel Drochtersen / Assel 2-1 HT 1-0 Phönix Lübeck Phönix Lübeck ALMBÖL
14.11.2021 Drochtersen / Assel Drochtersen / Assel 1-0 HT 1-0 Phönix Lübeck Phönix Lübeck ALMBÖL
01.09.2021 Phönix Lübeck Phönix Lübeck 0-0 HT 0-0 Drochtersen / Assel Drochtersen / Assel ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Phönix Lübeck vs Drochtersen / Assel
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Drochtersen / Assel saw off Phönix Lübeck 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (35% / 28% / 37%) promised a tight game; Drochtersen / Assel found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Drochtersen / Assel led the recent series with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Phönix Lübeck and 1.20 for Drochtersen / Assel.

What was the final score of Phönix Lübeck vs Drochtersen / Assel?

Phönix Lübeck 0-2 Drochtersen / Assel in the Germany - Regional League on 04/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Phönix Lübeck vs Drochtersen / Assel?

Before kick-off our model rated an Drochtersen / Assel win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Phönix Lübeck 35%, draw 28%, Drochtersen / Assel 37%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Drochtersen / Assel) — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Drochtersen / Assel)
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