Göppinger SV 0-1 Homburg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 28 Sep 2024

📅28/09/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
21%
4.65
Draw
26%
3.94
Away
53%
1.6
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.03
Over 2.5
52%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.81
No
42%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
19%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
8%
X/2
11%
X/X
14%
2/1
4%
2/2
33%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
21%
Home Win
19%
+2.7pp
26%
Draw
22%
+3.0pp
53%
Away Win
59%
-5.7pp
48%
Under 2.5
45%
+2.4pp
52%
Over 2.5
55%
-2.4pp
58%
BTTS Yes
51%
+6.4pp
42%
BTTS No
49%
-6.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Göppinger SV EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Homburg EU Bookmakers 62%
-15% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +2%
1.99/2.49 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.97/0.92
+74% / -30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / +11%
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
255 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 341 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
4.0 Yellow Cards 1.4
POST-MATCH Göppinger SV vs Homburg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Homburg edged past Göppinger SV 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Homburg as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (58%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Göppinger SV vs Homburg?

Göppinger SV 0-1 Homburg in the Germany - Regional League on 28/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Göppinger SV vs Homburg?

Before kick-off our model rated an Homburg win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Göppinger SV 21%, draw 26%, Homburg 53%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Homburg) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Homburg) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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