BFC Dynamo 1-1 Rot-Weiss Erfurt — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 28 Sep 2024

BFC Dynamo
1-1 HT 1-0
Rot-Weiss Erfurt
📅28/09/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Germany - Regional League – 2024/2025

BFC Dynamo vs Rot-Weiss Erfurt Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.64
Draw
28%
3.94
Away
21%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.38
Over 2.5
49%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.56
No
53%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
5%
1/X
10%
X/1
15%
X/2
9%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
7%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
57%
-5.3pp
28%
Draw
22%
+5.5pp
21%
Away Win
21%
-0.2pp
51%
Under 2.5
38%
+13.0pp
49%
Over 2.5
62%
-13.0pp
47%
BTTS Yes
60%
-13.5pp
53%
BTTS No
40%
+13.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

BFC Dynamo v Rot-Weiss Erfurt — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME BFC Dynamo EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Rot-Weiss Erfurt EU Bookmakers 25%
-5% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +2%
1.86/0.90 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.16/1.94
-6% / +19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / -5%
55% Ball Possession 45%
17 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
390 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 273 · 76%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.5

BFC Dynamo vs Rot-Weiss Erfurt Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME BFC Dynamo
1W-1D-3L
AWAY Rot-Weiss Erfurt
1.40 Avg Goals (FT) 2.40
48% Ball Possession 52%
7 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 4
The Meetings
19.04.2024 BFC Dynamo BFC Dynamo 2-2 HT 2-1 Rot-Weiss Erfurt Rot-Weiss Erfurt ALMBÖL
04.11.2023 Rot-Weiss Erfurt Rot-Weiss Erfurt 3-1 HT 2-0 BFC Dynamo BFC Dynamo ALMBÖL
23.04.2023 BFC Dynamo BFC Dynamo 2-1 HT 1-0 Rot-Weiss Erfurt Rot-Weiss Erfurt ALMBÖL
06.11.2022 Rot-Weiss Erfurt Rot-Weiss Erfurt 4-1 HT 1-0 BFC Dynamo BFC Dynamo ALMBÖL
15.09.2019 Rot-Weiss Erfurt Rot-Weiss Erfurt 2-1 HT 0-1 BFC Dynamo BFC Dynamo ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH BFC Dynamo vs Rot-Weiss Erfurt
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

BFC Dynamo and Rot-Weiss Erfurt shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was BFC Dynamo at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Rot-Weiss Erfurt led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.40 goals for BFC Dynamo and 2.40 for Rot-Weiss Erfurt.

What was the final score of BFC Dynamo vs Rot-Weiss Erfurt?

BFC Dynamo 1-1 Rot-Weiss Erfurt in the Germany - Regional League on 28/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for BFC Dynamo vs Rot-Weiss Erfurt?

Before kick-off our model rated a BFC Dynamo win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split BFC Dynamo 51%, draw 28%, Rot-Weiss Erfurt 21%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (BFC Dynamo), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (BFC Dynamo) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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