Astoria Walldorf 1-1 Villingen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 28 Sep 2024

📅28/09/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.75
Draw
22%
3.8
Away
27%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.21
Over 2.5
51%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.6
No
53%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
9%
X/X
8%
2/1
8%
2/2
13%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
53%
-1.6pp
22%
Draw
23%
-1.3pp
27%
Away Win
24%
+2.9pp
49%
Under 2.5
41%
+7.6pp
51%
Over 2.5
59%
-7.6pp
47%
BTTS Yes
58%
-11.2pp
53%
BTTS No
42%
+11.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Astoria Walldorf EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Villingen EU Bookmakers 27%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+25% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
343 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 340 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Astoria Walldorf vs Villingen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Astoria Walldorf and Villingen shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match lean was Astoria Walldorf at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

What was the final score of Astoria Walldorf vs Villingen?

Astoria Walldorf 1-1 Villingen in the Germany - Regional League on 28/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Astoria Walldorf vs Villingen?

Before kick-off our model rated a Astoria Walldorf win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Astoria Walldorf 52%, draw 22%, Villingen 27%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Astoria Walldorf) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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