Paderborn 07 II 3-1 Rot-Weiss Oberhausen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 28 Sep 2024

Paderborn 07 II
3-1
Rot-Weiss Oberhausen
📅28/09/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Germany - Regional League – 2024/2025

Paderborn 07 II vs Rot-Weiss Oberhausen Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
3.08
Draw
30%
3.64
Away
43%
1.96
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.23
Over 2.5
51%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.53
No
48%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
9%
1/X
8%
X/1
11%
X/2
12%
X/X
18%
2/1
4%
2/2
23%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
29%
-2.4pp
30%
Draw
24%
+6.0pp
43%
Away Win
47%
-3.6pp
49%
Under 2.5
41%
+8.1pp
51%
Over 2.5
59%
-8.1pp
52%
BTTS Yes
61%
-9.1pp
48%
BTTS No
39%
+9.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Paderborn 07 II v Rot-Weiss Oberhausen — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Paderborn 07 II EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Rot-Weiss Oberhausen EU Bookmakers 51%
+9% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +8%
1.77/1.09 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.42/0.77
+28% / +44% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +39% / +53%
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
324 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 388 · 80%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.2 Yellow Cards 2.8

Paderborn 07 II vs Rot-Weiss Oberhausen Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Paderborn 07 II
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Rot-Weiss Oberhausen
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 4.00
41% Ball Possession 59%
10 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 10
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
25.11.2023 Rot-Weiss Oberhausen Rot-Weiss Oberhausen 4-1 HT 3-0 Paderborn 07 II Paderborn 07 II ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Paderborn 07 II vs Rot-Weiss Oberhausen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Paderborn 07 II beat Rot-Weiss Oberhausen 3-1.

Our pre-match lean was Rot-Weiss Oberhausen at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

What was the final score of Paderborn 07 II vs Rot-Weiss Oberhausen?

Paderborn 07 II 3-1 Rot-Weiss Oberhausen in the Germany - Regional League on 28/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Paderborn 07 II vs Rot-Weiss Oberhausen?

Before kick-off our model rated an Rot-Weiss Oberhausen win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Paderborn 07 II 26%, draw 30%, Rot-Weiss Oberhausen 43%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Rot-Weiss Oberhausen) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Rot-Weiss Oberhausen) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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