SGV Freiberg 2-2 Stuttgarter Kickers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 28 Sep 2024

📅28/09/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
2.99
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
46%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.95
Over 2.5
54%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.68
No
46%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
47%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
8%
X/2
19%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
21%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
30%
+0.2pp
25%
Draw
25%
-0.8pp
46%
Away Win
45%
+0.7pp
46%
Under 2.5
48%
-1.5pp
54%
Over 2.5
52%
+1.5pp
54%
BTTS Yes
56%
-1.5pp
46%
BTTS No
44%
+1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME SGV Freiberg EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Stuttgarter Kickers EU Bookmakers 49%
+7% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +7%
1.69/1.81 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.66/0.69
+22% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / +88%
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
328 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 384 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME SGV Freiberg
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Stuttgarter Kickers
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
04.11.2023 SGV Freiberg SGV Freiberg 0-2 HT 0-1 Stuttgarter Kickers Stuttgarter Kickers ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH SGV Freiberg vs Stuttgarter Kickers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

SGV Freiberg and Stuttgarter Kickers couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Stuttgarter Kickers at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

What was the final score of SGV Freiberg vs Stuttgarter Kickers?

SGV Freiberg 2-2 Stuttgarter Kickers in the Germany - Regional League on 28/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for SGV Freiberg vs Stuttgarter Kickers?

Before kick-off our model rated an Stuttgarter Kickers win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split SGV Freiberg 30%, draw 25%, Stuttgarter Kickers 46%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Stuttgarter Kickers) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Stuttgarter Kickers) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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