Slavia Sofia 2-3 Septemvri Sofia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bulgaria - 1st Division, 1 Apr 2025

📅01/04/2025 · 🕒18:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
59%
1.72
Draw
22%
3.54
Away
19%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.78
Over 2.5
53%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
36%
1.95
No
64%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
19%
X/2
6%
X/X
13%
2/1
9%
2/2
9%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
59%
Home Win
54%
+4.5pp
22%
Draw
25%
-3.0pp
19%
Away Win
21%
-1.6pp
47%
Under 2.5
52%
-5.7pp
53%
Over 2.5
48%
+5.7pp
36%
BTTS Yes
47%
-11.3pp
64%
BTTS No
53%
+11.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Slavia Sofia EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Septemvri Sofia EU Bookmakers 24%
-1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +4%
1.29/0.68 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.20/1.71
-20% / +35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +18% / -34%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
347 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 292 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 4.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Slavia Sofia
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Septemvri Sofia
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
49% Ball Possession 51%
9 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 4
14.09.2024 Septemvri Sofia Septemvri Sofia 3-2 HT 1-0 Slavia Sofia Slavia Sofia BUL1
28.04.2023 Septemvri Sofia Septemvri Sofia 1-2 HT 0-1 Slavia Sofia Slavia Sofia BUL1
21.06.2018 Septemvri Sofia Septemvri Sofia 1-1 HT 0-0 Slavia Sofia Slavia Sofia HAZ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Slavia Sofia
2-3
AWAY Septemvri Sofia
55% Ball Possession 45%
9 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Slavia Sofia vs Septemvri Sofia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Septemvri Sofia nicked a narrow win over Slavia Sofia 3-2 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

This one beat our numbers. Slavia Sofia carried 59% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (64%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Slavia Sofia had 55% of the ball to Septemvri Sofia's 45%, shots finished 9-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Slavia Sofia and 1.67 for Septemvri Sofia.

What was the final score of Slavia Sofia vs Septemvri Sofia?

Slavia Sofia 2-3 Septemvri Sofia in the Bulgaria - 1st Division on 01/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Slavia Sofia vs Septemvri Sofia?

Before kick-off our model rated a Slavia Sofia win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Slavia Sofia 59%, draw 22%, Septemvri Sofia 19%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Slavia Sofia), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Slavia Sofia) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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