Ulsan Hyundai 2-3 Daejeon Citizen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Classic, 1 Apr 2025

📅01/04/2025 · 🕒13:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.86
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
30%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.75
Over 2.5
51%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.88
No
47%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.04
2-3 Goals
43%
1.82
4-5 Goals
22%
4.03
6+ Goals
9%
18.15
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
2.56
1/2
9%
35.0
1/X
5%
14.1
X/1
17%
4.4
X/2
10%
8.17
X/X
13%
4.61
2/1
7%
25.5
2/2
11%
6.6
2/X
9%
15.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
50%
-7.8pp
28%
Draw
26%
+1.2pp
30%
Away Win
24%
+6.6pp
49%
Under 2.5
53%
-3.9pp
51%
Over 2.5
47%
+3.9pp
53%
BTTS Yes
49%
+4.3pp
47%
BTTS No
51%
-4.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ulsan Hyundai EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Daejeon Citizen EU Bookmakers 27%
+3% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +21% / +21%
1.54/1.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.34/0.87
+1% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +27% / +63%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
380 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 284 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
14.5 Crosses 9.9
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ulsan Hyundai
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Daejeon Citizen
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
60% Ball Possession 40%
16 Total Shots 7
8 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 2
461 Passes 285
81% Pass Accuracy 73%
13 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 2
23.02.2025 Daejeon Citizen Daejeon Citizen 0-2 HT 0-1 Ulsan Hyundai Ulsan Hyundai GKOR
27.09.2024 Daejeon Citizen Daejeon Citizen 0-1 HT 0-1 Ulsan Hyundai Ulsan Hyundai GKOR
25.05.2024 Ulsan Hyundai Ulsan Hyundai 4-1 HT 1-0 Daejeon Citizen Daejeon Citizen GKOK
02.04.2024 Daejeon Citizen Daejeon Citizen 2-0 HT 0-0 Ulsan Hyundai Ulsan Hyundai GKOK
16.09.2023 Ulsan Hyundai Ulsan Hyundai 1-1 HT 1-1 Daejeon Citizen Daejeon Citizen GKOK
28.05.2023 Ulsan Hyundai Ulsan Hyundai 3-3 HT 1-3 Daejeon Citizen Daejeon Citizen GKOK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ulsan Hyundai
2-3
AWAY Daejeon Citizen
62% Ball Possession 38%
16 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 0
2 Passes 2
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Ulsan Hyundai vs Daejeon Citizen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Daejeon Citizen nicked a narrow win over Ulsan Hyundai 3-2 away from home. The game was level at 2-2 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Ulsan Hyundai at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Ulsan Hyundai had 62% of the ball to Daejeon Citizen's 38%, shots finished 16-6.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ulsan Hyundai had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Ulsan Hyundai and 1.17 for Daejeon Citizen.

What was the final score of Ulsan Hyundai vs Daejeon Citizen?

Ulsan Hyundai 2-3 Daejeon Citizen in the South Kore - K League Classic on 01/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ulsan Hyundai vs Daejeon Citizen?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ulsan Hyundai win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Ulsan Hyundai 42%, draw 28%, Daejeon Citizen 30%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Ulsan Hyundai) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ulsan Hyundai) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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