Samgurali 0-1 Kolkheti 1913 Poti — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Georgia - Erovnuli Liga, 1 Apr 2025

📅01/04/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.8
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
31%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
1.8
Over 2.5
55%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.85
No
45%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
7%
1/X
12%
X/1
18%
X/2
11%
X/X
7%
2/1
6%
2/2
13%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
52%
-7.3pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.4pp
31%
Away Win
23%
+7.8pp
45%
Under 2.5
52%
-6.2pp
55%
Over 2.5
48%
+6.2pp
55%
BTTS Yes
50%
+5.4pp
45%
BTTS No
50%
-5.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Samgurali EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Kolkheti 1913 Poti EU Bookmakers 26%
-6% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -21% / -21%
1.69/0.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.58/2.28
+6% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -45% / -42%
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
366 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 287 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Samgurali
1W-3D-0L
AWAY Kolkheti 1913 Poti
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.25
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 1
01.11.2024 Kolkheti 1913 Poti Kolkheti 1913 Poti 1-1 HT 1-0 Samgurali Samgurali GUR
24.08.2024 Samgurali Samgurali 3-0 HT 1-0 Kolkheti 1913 Poti Kolkheti 1913 Poti GUR
10.05.2024 Kolkheti 1913 Poti Kolkheti 1913 Poti 3-3 HT 0-2 Samgurali Samgurali GUR
15.03.2024 Samgurali Samgurali 1-1 HT 1-1 Kolkheti 1913 Poti Kolkheti 1913 Poti GUR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Samgurali
0-1
AWAY Kolkheti 1913 Poti
52% Ball Possession 48%
8 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 5
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Samgurali vs Kolkheti 1913 Poti
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kolkheti 1913 Poti squeezed past Samgurali 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Samgurali at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Samgurali had 52% of the ball to Kolkheti 1913 Poti's 48%, shots finished 8-16.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Samgurali had the better of it with 1 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Samgurali and 1.25 for Kolkheti 1913 Poti.

What was the final score of Samgurali vs Kolkheti 1913 Poti?

Samgurali 0-1 Kolkheti 1913 Poti in the Georgia - Erovnuli Liga on 01/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Samgurali vs Kolkheti 1913 Poti?

Before kick-off our model rated a Samgurali win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Samgurali 44%, draw 25%, Kolkheti 1913 Poti 31%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Samgurali) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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