Samgurali 3-0 Kolkheti 1913 Poti — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Georgia - Erovnuli Liga, 24 Aug 2024

📅24/08/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.09
Draw
23%
3.28
Away
35%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.8
Over 2.5
49%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.75
No
46%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
19%
X/2
8%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
19%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
44%
-1.6pp
23%
Draw
27%
-4.5pp
35%
Away Win
29%
+6.0pp
51%
Under 2.5
52%
-0.4pp
49%
Over 2.5
48%
+0.4pp
54%
BTTS Yes
53%
+0.7pp
46%
BTTS No
47%
-0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Samgurali EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Kolkheti 1913 Poti EU Bookmakers 32%
-1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +9%
1.26/0.92 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.00
-15% / +21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / +32%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
302 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 339 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Samgurali
0W-2D-0L
AWAY Kolkheti 1913 Poti
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 1
10.05.2024 Kolkheti 1913 Poti Kolkheti 1913 Poti 3-3 HT 0-2 Samgurali Samgurali GUR
15.03.2024 Samgurali Samgurali 1-1 HT 1-1 Kolkheti 1913 Poti Kolkheti 1913 Poti GUR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Samgurali
3-0
AWAY Kolkheti 1913 Poti
56% Ball Possession 44%
20 Total Shots 10
11 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Samgurali vs Kolkheti 1913 Poti
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Samgurali cruised past Kolkheti 1913 Poti 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Samgurali as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Samgurali had 56% of the ball to Kolkheti 1913 Poti's 44%, shots finished 20-10.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 0 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Samgurali and 2.00 for Kolkheti 1913 Poti.

What was the final score of Samgurali vs Kolkheti 1913 Poti?

Samgurali 3-0 Kolkheti 1913 Poti in the Georgia - Erovnuli Liga on 24/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Samgurali vs Kolkheti 1913 Poti?

Before kick-off our model rated a Samgurali win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Samgurali 42%, draw 23%, Kolkheti 1913 Poti 35%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Samgurali) — while Under 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Samgurali) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
GUR More Georgia - Erovnuli Liga
24 Aug 2024
16:00 Samtredia vs Gagra Analysis →
19:00 Telavi vs Dinamo Batumi Analysis →