Samtredia 2-0 Gagra — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Georgia - Erovnuli Liga, 24 Aug 2024

📅24/08/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
2.99
Draw
30%
3.28
Away
40%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.8
Over 2.5
45%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.76
No
52%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
14%
X/2
17%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
17%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
30%
-0.1pp
30%
Draw
27%
+2.9pp
40%
Away Win
43%
-2.9pp
55%
Under 2.5
52%
+3.0pp
45%
Over 2.5
48%
-3.0pp
48%
BTTS Yes
53%
-4.7pp
52%
BTTS No
47%
+4.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Samtredia EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Gagra EU Bookmakers 48%
-22% / -22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +46% / +46%
0.88/1.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.13/0.57
-23% / -34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +53% / +77%
45% Ball Possession 55%
8 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
268 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 320 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Samtredia
2W-0D-3L
AWAY Gagra
1.80 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 1
10.05.2024 Gagra Gagra 2-1 HT 1-0 Samtredia Samtredia GUR
16.03.2024 Samtredia Samtredia 1-3 HT 1-2 Gagra Gagra GUR
28.11.2023 Gagra Gagra 4-3 HT 2-3 Samtredia Samtredia GUR
23.09.2023 Samtredia Samtredia 3-1 HT 3-1 Gagra Gagra GUR
28.05.2023 Gagra Gagra 0-1 HT 0-0 Samtredia Samtredia GUR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Samtredia
2-0
AWAY Gagra
46% Ball Possession 54%
2 Total Shots 3
1 Shots on Target 0
0 Corners 0
POST-MATCH Samtredia vs Gagra
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Samtredia saw off Gagra 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 30% / 30% / 40% — and on the day Samtredia made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, Samtredia had 46% of the ball to Gagra's 54%, shots finished 2-3.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Gagra led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.80 goals for Samtredia and 2.00 for Gagra.

What was the final score of Samtredia vs Gagra?

Samtredia 2-0 Gagra in the Georgia - Erovnuli Liga on 24/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Samtredia vs Gagra?

Before kick-off our model rated an Gagra win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Samtredia 30%, draw 30%, Gagra 40%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Gagra) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Gagra) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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