Gagra vs Samtredia Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Gagra v Samtredia — Team-Based Signals
Gagra vs Samtredia Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings
4-3
HT 2-3
Samtredia
GUR
3-1
HT 3-1
Gagra
GUR
0-1
HT 0-0
Samtredia
GUR
Gagra 2-1 Samtredia — Actual Match Statistics
Gagra nicked a narrow win over Samtredia 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.
As we said in the preview, our model had Gagra as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.
On the day, Gagra had 43% of the ball to Samtredia's 57%, shots finished 10-10.
Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Gagra and 2.00 for Samtredia.
What was the final score of Gagra vs Samtredia?
Gagra 2-1 Samtredia in the Georgia - Erovnuli Liga on 10/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Gagra vs Samtredia?
Before kick-off our model rated a Gagra win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Gagra 45%, draw 24%, Samtredia 31%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gagra), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.