Dinamo Tbilisi 1-0 Saburtalo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Georgia - Erovnuli Liga, 10 May 2024

📅10/05/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.8
Draw
29%
3.35
Away
35%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
2.0
Over 2.5
45%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.61
No
51%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
15%
X/2
13%
X/X
16%
2/1
7%
2/2
18%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
32%
+4.0pp
29%
Draw
27%
+2.0pp
35%
Away Win
41%
-6.1pp
55%
Under 2.5
46%
+8.6pp
45%
Over 2.5
54%
-8.6pp
49%
BTTS Yes
58%
-9.1pp
51%
BTTS No
42%
+9.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dinamo Tbilisi EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Saburtalo EU Bookmakers 45%
+6% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -10%
0.73/0.41 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.33/1.46
-36% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / -22%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
270 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 345 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dinamo Tbilisi
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Saburtalo
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 2
15.03.2024 Saburtalo 1-0 HT 1-0 Dinamo Tbilisi Dinamo Tbilisi GUR
02.12.2023 Saburtalo 0-3 HT 0-0 Dinamo Tbilisi Dinamo Tbilisi GUR
29.09.2023 Dinamo Tbilisi Dinamo Tbilisi 1-0 HT 1-0 Saburtalo GUR
01.06.2023 Saburtalo 2-1 HT 0-0 Dinamo Tbilisi Dinamo Tbilisi GUR
21.04.2023 Dinamo Tbilisi Dinamo Tbilisi 1-3 HT 1-0 Saburtalo GUR
29.10.2022 Dinamo Tbilisi Dinamo Tbilisi 3-1 HT 1-1 Saburtalo GUR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dinamo Tbilisi
1-0
AWAY Saburtalo
60% Ball Possession 40%
12 Total Shots 5
4 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Dinamo Tbilisi vs Saburtalo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dinamo Tbilisi edged past Saburtalo 1-0.

Our pre-match split (36% / 29% / 35%) promised a tight game; Dinamo Tbilisi found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Dinamo Tbilisi had 60% of the ball to Saburtalo's 40%, shots finished 12-5.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Dinamo Tbilisi and 1.17 for Saburtalo.

What was the final score of Dinamo Tbilisi vs Saburtalo?

Dinamo Tbilisi 1-0 Saburtalo in the Georgia - Erovnuli Liga on 10/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dinamo Tbilisi vs Saburtalo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dinamo Tbilisi win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Dinamo Tbilisi 36%, draw 29%, Saburtalo 35%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Dinamo Tbilisi), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Dinamo Tbilisi) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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