AZ Alkmaar vs RKC Waalwijk Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
AZ Alkmaar v RKC Waalwijk — Team-Based Signals
AZ Alkmaar vs RKC Waalwijk Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-3
HT 1-0
AZ Alkmaar
HOL
3-0
HT 1-0
RKC Waalwijk
HOL
3-1
HT 1-1
AZ Alkmaar
HOL
1-3
HT 1-1
RKC Waalwijk
HOL
AZ Alkmaar 2-2 RKC Waalwijk — Actual Match Statistics
AZ Alkmaar and RKC Waalwijk shared the points in a 2-2 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
Our pre-match lean was AZ Alkmaar at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (55%), and both reads landed as well.
On the day, AZ Alkmaar had 62% of the ball to RKC Waalwijk's 38%, shots finished 24-6, expected goals 2.36 to 0.80.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, AZ Alkmaar had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for AZ Alkmaar and 1.50 for RKC Waalwijk.
What was the final score of AZ Alkmaar vs RKC Waalwijk?
AZ Alkmaar 2-2 RKC Waalwijk in the Netherlands - Eredivisie on 01/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for AZ Alkmaar vs RKC Waalwijk?
Before kick-off our model rated a AZ Alkmaar win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split AZ Alkmaar 49%, draw 31%, RKC Waalwijk 19%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (AZ Alkmaar) went the other way.