AZ Alkmaar vs RKC Waalwijk Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
AZ Alkmaar v RKC Waalwijk — Team-Based Signals
AZ Alkmaar vs RKC Waalwijk Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-3
HT 1-0
AZ Alkmaar
HOL
3-0
HT 1-0
RKC Waalwijk
HOL
3-1
HT 1-1
AZ Alkmaar
HOL
1-3
HT 1-1
RKC Waalwijk
HOL
0-4
HT 0-3
AZ Alkmaar
HOK
1-0
HT 1-0
AZ Alkmaar
HOL
AZ Alkmaar 3-2 RKC Waalwijk — Actual Match Statistics
AZ Alkmaar squeezed past RKC Waalwijk 3-2. It was 0-2 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As we said in the preview, our model had AZ Alkmaar as the likeliest winner at 62%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (56%) landed while no to both teams scoring (56%) missed.
On the day, AZ Alkmaar had 71% of the ball to RKC Waalwijk's 29%, shots finished 21-5, expected goals 2.09 to 0.63 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold AZ Alkmaar's control.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for AZ Alkmaar and 1.33 for RKC Waalwijk.
What was the final score of AZ Alkmaar vs RKC Waalwijk?
AZ Alkmaar 3-2 RKC Waalwijk in the Netherlands - Eredivisie on 13/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for AZ Alkmaar vs RKC Waalwijk?
Before kick-off our model rated a AZ Alkmaar win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split AZ Alkmaar 62%, draw 17%, RKC Waalwijk 21%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (AZ Alkmaar), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.