PSV Eindhoven 6-0 Vitesse — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eredivisie, 13 Apr 2024

📅13/04/2024 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
73%
1.11
Draw
15%
8.11
Away
12%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
33%
1.0
Over 2.5
67%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.88
No
56%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
17%
14.85
2-3 Goals
34%
3.1
4-5 Goals
31%
2.3
6+ Goals
18%
2.59
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
36%
1.11
1/2
3%
34.5
1/X
4%
34.5
X/1 EV+ ✗
28%
3.94
X/2
4%
34.5
X/X
7%
21.0
2/1
9%
21.0
2/2
5%
34.5
2/X
4%
34.5
Value flag · X/1 at 3.94 — our 28% vs market 18.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
73%
Home Win
85%
-11.9pp
15%
Draw
9%
+6.4pp
12%
Away Win
6%
+5.4pp
44%
BTTS Yes
49%
-4.7pp
56%
BTTS No
51%
+4.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME PSV Eindhoven EU Bookmakers 90%
Head to Head
AWAY Vitesse EU Bookmakers 9%
+3% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +11%
2.82/0.76 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.86/2.20
+15% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -36% / +17%
62% Ball Possession 38%
19 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 3
494 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 252 · 73%
43.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.9
23.8 Crosses 14.6
0.9 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME PSV Eindhoven
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Vitesse
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
2.21 xG 0.99
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 13
8 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 4
453 Passes 317
81% Pass Accuracy 74%
29 Box Touches 20
14 Crosses 15
0 Yellow Cards 1
19.08.2023 Vitesse Vitesse 1-3 HT 1-0 PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven HOL
19.03.2023 Vitesse Vitesse 1-1 HT 0-1 PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven HOL
21.01.2023 PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven 1-0 HT 0-0 Vitesse Vitesse HOL
12.02.2022 Vitesse Vitesse 0-5 HT 0-3 PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven HOL
20.11.2021 PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven 2-0 HT 2-0 Vitesse Vitesse HOL
21.02.2021 PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven 3-1 HT 0-1 Vitesse Vitesse HOL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME PSV Eindhoven
6-0
AWAY Vitesse
3.09 xG 0.39
68% Ball Possession 32%
29 Total Shots 9
12 Shots on Target 0
5 Corners 4
573 Passes 205
89% Pass Accuracy 72%
48 Box Touches 17
11 Crosses 10
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH PSV Eindhoven vs Vitesse
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

PSV Eindhoven swept aside Vitesse 6-0. Half-time: 3-0. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had PSV Eindhoven as the likeliest winner at 73%, and the 6-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (67%), no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.

On the day, PSV Eindhoven had 68% of the ball to Vitesse's 32%, shots finished 29-9, expected goals 3.09 to 0.39.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, PSV Eindhoven had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for PSV Eindhoven and 0.50 for Vitesse.

What was the final score of PSV Eindhoven vs Vitesse?

PSV Eindhoven 6-0 Vitesse in the Netherlands - Eredivisie on 13/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for PSV Eindhoven vs Vitesse?

Before kick-off our model rated a PSV Eindhoven win the most likely single outcome at about 73%, with the full match-result split PSV Eindhoven 73%, draw 15%, Vitesse 12%. The final score 6-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (PSV Eindhoven), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (PSV Eindhoven) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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