La Equidad 0-1 Junior — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Primera, 1 Apr 2025

📅01/04/2025 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.25
Draw
35%
3.04
Away
27%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
70%
1.54
Over 2.5
30%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
36%
2.03
No
64%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
45%
2-3 Goals
33%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
19%
X/2
11%
X/X
21%
2/1
6%
2/2
10%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
41%
-3.0pp
35%
Draw
30%
+5.7pp
27%
Away Win
30%
-2.7pp
70%
Under 2.5
61%
+9.1pp
30%
Over 2.5
39%
-9.1pp
36%
BTTS Yes
45%
-9.1pp
64%
BTTS No
55%
+9.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME La Equidad EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Junior EU Bookmakers 33%
-4% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -16% / -15%
1.04/0.84 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.88/1.08
-23% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -28% / +3%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
273 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 268 · 74%
16.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.5
17.8 Crosses 13.7
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME La Equidad
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Junior
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
0.76 xG 0.93
50% Ball Possession 50%
16 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
273 Passes 279
78% Pass Accuracy 78%
15 Box Touches 11
18 Crosses 9
3 Yellow Cards 4
13.10.2024 La Equidad La Equidad 1-0 Junior Junior KOL
30.03.2024 Junior Junior 1-0 HT 1-0 La Equidad La Equidad KOL
20.08.2023 La Equidad La Equidad 0-0 HT 0-0 Junior Junior KOL
26.02.2023 Junior Junior 1-0 HT 1-0 La Equidad La Equidad KOL
17.07.2022 La Equidad La Equidad 0-0 HT 0-0 Junior Junior KOL
18.03.2022 Junior Junior 3-1 HT 2-1 La Equidad La Equidad CON CSA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME La Equidad
0-1
AWAY Junior
1.22 xG 1.18
52% Ball Possession 48%
19 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 3
262 Passes 246
82% Pass Accuracy 80%
17 Box Touches 8
23 Crosses 7
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH La Equidad vs Junior
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Junior nicked a narrow win over La Equidad 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 35% / 27% — and on the day Junior made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (70%), no to both teams scoring (64%) came in.

On the day, La Equidad had 52% of the ball to Junior's 48%, shots finished 19-8, expected goals 1.22 to 1.18.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Junior led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for La Equidad and 0.83 for Junior.

What was the final score of La Equidad vs Junior?

La Equidad 0-1 Junior in the Colombia - Primera on 01/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for La Equidad vs Junior?

Before kick-off our model rated a La Equidad win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split La Equidad 38%, draw 35%, Junior 27%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (La Equidad) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (La Equidad) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →