Raufoss 3-2 Moss — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 1st Division, 1 Apr 2025

Raufoss
3-2 HT 2-0
Moss
📅01/04/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Norway - 1st Division – 2025

Raufoss vs Moss Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.67
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
38%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.8
Over 2.5
48%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.75
No
43%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.01
2-3 Goals EV+ ✗
49%
1.75
4-5 Goals
20%
3.59
6+ Goals
8%
14.95
Value flag · 2-3 Goals at 1.75 — our 49% vs market 48.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
15%
X/2
5%
X/X
10%
2/1
9%
2/2
25%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
34%
+0.6pp
28%
Draw
27%
+0.8pp
38%
Away Win
39%
-1.4pp
52%
Under 2.5
52%
+0.5pp
48%
Over 2.5
48%
-0.5pp
57%
BTTS Yes
53%
+4.0pp
43%
BTTS No
47%
-4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Raufoss v Moss — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Raufoss EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Moss EU Bookmakers 43%
+8% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +5%
1.49/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.93/1.38
+2% / +55% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / +5%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
285 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 317 · 74%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.1 Yellow Cards 0.7

Raufoss vs Moss Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Raufoss
0W-1D-3L
AWAY Moss
0.75 Avg Goals (FT) 1.75
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 0
The Meetings
02.11.2024 Moss Moss 3-2 HT 3-1 Raufoss Raufoss NOR1
16.05.2024 Raufoss Raufoss 0-2 HT 0-1 Moss Moss NOR1
03.09.2023 Raufoss Raufoss 1-1 HT 0-1 Moss Moss NOR1
29.05.2023 Moss Moss 1-0 HT 1-0 Raufoss Raufoss NOR1
POST-MATCH Raufoss vs Moss
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Raufoss nicked a narrow win over Moss 3-2. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (34% / 28% / 38%) promised a tight game; Raufoss found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged both teams to score (57%), and that read landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Moss led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.75 goals for Raufoss and 1.75 for Moss.

What was the final score of Raufoss vs Moss?

Raufoss 3-2 Moss in the Norway - 1st Division on 01/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Raufoss vs Moss?

Before kick-off our model rated an Moss win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Raufoss 34%, draw 28%, Moss 38%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Moss), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Moss) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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