Raufoss 0-2 Moss — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 1st Division, 16 May 2024

Raufoss
0-2 HT 0-1
Moss
📅16/05/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.09
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
32%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.95
Over 2.5
54%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.66
No
48%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.58
2-3 Goals
40%
1.8
4-5 Goals
25%
3.36
6+ Goals
11%
12.3
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
8%
1/X
9%
X/1
7%
X/2
8%
X/X
7%
2/1
11%
2/2
17%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
44%
-3.0pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.7pp
33%
Away Win
30%
+2.3pp
46%
Under 2.5
48%
-1.8pp
54%
Over 2.5
52%
+1.8pp
52%
BTTS Yes
56%
-4.1pp
48%
BTTS No
44%
+4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Raufoss EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Moss EU Bookmakers 34%
+0% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -16%
1.48/1.25 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.17/2.32
-9% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / -33%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
279 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 353 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Raufoss
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Moss
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 0
03.09.2023 Raufoss Raufoss 1-1 HT 0-1 Moss Moss NOR1
29.05.2023 Moss Moss 1-0 HT 1-0 Raufoss Raufoss NOR1
POST-MATCH Raufoss vs Moss
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Moss saw off Raufoss 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Raufoss at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Moss led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Raufoss and 1.00 for Moss.

What was the final score of Raufoss vs Moss?

Raufoss 0-2 Moss in the Norway - 1st Division on 16/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Raufoss vs Moss?

Before kick-off our model rated a Raufoss win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Raufoss 41%, draw 27%, Moss 33%. The final score 0-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Raufoss) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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