Valerenga 0-2 Kongsvinger — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 1st Division, 16 May 2024

📅16/05/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.9
Draw
25%
3.64
Away
31%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.23
Over 2.5
58%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.55
No
41%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
4.57
2-3 Goals
39%
1.9
4-5 Goals
26%
2.88
6+ Goals
15%
8.24
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
13%
X/2
12%
X/X
9%
2/1
10%
2/2
12%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
49%
-4.8pp
25%
Draw
24%
+0.6pp
32%
Away Win
27%
+4.2pp
42%
Under 2.5
41%
+0.6pp
58%
Over 2.5
59%
-0.6pp
59%
BTTS Yes
60%
-1.3pp
41%
BTTS No
40%
+1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Valerenga EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Kongsvinger EU Bookmakers 31%
+32% / +32% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +19%
1.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.10/1.35
-44% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / +23%
50% Ball Possession 50%
15 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
337 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 340 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Valerenga
3W-0D-0L
AWAY Kongsvinger
3.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
55% Ball Possession 45%
22 Total Shots 4
9 Shots on Target 2
9 Corners 0
06.02.2018 Valerenga Valerenga 4-0 HT 2-0 Kongsvinger Kongsvinger HAZ
17.07.2010 Valerenga Valerenga 5-2 HT 2-2 Kongsvinger Kongsvinger NOR
08.05.2010 Kongsvinger Kongsvinger 1-2 HT 1-1 Valerenga Valerenga NOR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Valerenga
0-2
AWAY Kongsvinger
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 8
1 Shots on Target 5
9 Corners 9
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Valerenga vs Kongsvinger
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kongsvinger beat Valerenga 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Valerenga at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Valerenga had 54% of the ball to Kongsvinger's 46%, shots finished 11-8.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Valerenga had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 3.67 goals for Valerenga and 1.00 for Kongsvinger.

What was the final score of Valerenga vs Kongsvinger?

Valerenga 0-2 Kongsvinger in the Norway - 1st Division on 16/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Valerenga vs Kongsvinger?

Before kick-off our model rated a Valerenga win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Valerenga 44%, draw 25%, Kongsvinger 32%. The final score 0-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Valerenga) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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