Aalesund 0-2 Sogndal — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 1st Division, 16 May 2024

📅16/05/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.27
Draw
29%
3.35
Away
33%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.1
Over 2.5
54%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.55
No
42%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
4.11
2-3 Goals
39%
1.85
4-5 Goals
24%
3.06
6+ Goals
13%
9.73
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
7%
1/X
10%
X/1
14%
X/2
12%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
14%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
40%
-2.1pp
29%
Draw
26%
+2.9pp
33%
Away Win
34%
-0.9pp
46%
Under 2.5
44%
+1.8pp
54%
Over 2.5
56%
-1.8pp
58%
BTTS Yes
60%
-2.9pp
42%
BTTS No
40%
+2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aalesund EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Sogndal EU Bookmakers 37%
+3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / +4%
1.27/1.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.27/1.57
-20% / +19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / -4%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
285 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 320 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Aalesund
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Sogndal
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
59% Ball Possession 41%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
23.02.2024 Sogndal Sogndal 2-3 Aalesund Aalesund HAZ
17.10.2021 Aalesund Aalesund 3-0 HT 2-0 Sogndal Sogndal NOR1
18.06.2021 Sogndal Sogndal 2-0 HT 1-0 Aalesund Aalesund NOR1
17.08.2019 Sogndal Sogndal 2-3 HT 1-0 Aalesund Aalesund NOR1
04.05.2019 Aalesund Aalesund 3-1 HT 0-0 Sogndal Sogndal NOR1
28.10.2018 Sogndal Sogndal 2-0 HT 1-0 Aalesund Aalesund NOR1
POST-MATCH Aalesund vs Sogndal
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sogndal got the better of Aalesund 2-0 away from home.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 29% / 33% — and on the day Sogndal made the difference. The goals read — both teams to score (58%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Aalesund had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Aalesund and 1.50 for Sogndal.

What was the final score of Aalesund vs Sogndal?

Aalesund 0-2 Sogndal in the Norway - 1st Division on 16/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Aalesund vs Sogndal?

Before kick-off our model rated a Aalesund win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Aalesund 38%, draw 29%, Sogndal 33%. The final score 0-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Aalesund) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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