Stabaek 2-2 Lyn Oslo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 1st Division, 16 May 2024

📅16/05/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.09
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
35%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.23
Over 2.5
48%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.5
No
48%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
4.59
2-3 Goals
43%
1.9
4-5 Goals
22%
2.88
6+ Goals
10%
8.2
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
9%
1/X
5%
X/1
10%
X/2
17%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
10%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
44%
-4.0pp
25%
Draw
25%
-0.3pp
35%
Away Win
31%
+4.4pp
52%
Under 2.5
41%
+10.9pp
48%
Over 2.5
59%
-10.9pp
52%
BTTS Yes
62%
-10.1pp
48%
BTTS No
38%
+10.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Stabaek EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Lyn Oslo EU Bookmakers 34%
+17% / +17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +4%
1.85/0.12 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.96/1.68
+14% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -30% / -6%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
269 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 304 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Stabaek
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Lyn Oslo
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
19.05.2022 Lyn Oslo Lyn Oslo 2-3 Stabaek Stabaek NOK
05.07.2009 Lyn Oslo Lyn Oslo 2-2 HT 1-0 Stabaek Stabaek NOR
03.05.2009 Stabaek Stabaek 0-0 HT 0-0 Lyn Oslo Lyn Oslo NOR
23.08.2008 Stabaek Stabaek 1-1 HT 0-0 Lyn Oslo Lyn Oslo NOR
16.05.2008 Lyn Oslo Lyn Oslo 0-2 HT 0-0 Stabaek Stabaek NOR
10.06.2007 Stabaek Stabaek 3-2 HT 0-0 Lyn Oslo Lyn Oslo NOR
POST-MATCH Stabaek vs Lyn Oslo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Stabaek and Lyn Oslo couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (40% / 25% / 35%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Stabaek had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Stabaek and 1.17 for Lyn Oslo.

What was the final score of Stabaek vs Lyn Oslo?

Stabaek 2-2 Lyn Oslo in the Norway - 1st Division on 16/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Stabaek vs Lyn Oslo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Stabaek win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Stabaek 40%, draw 25%, Lyn Oslo 35%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Stabaek), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Stabaek) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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