Moss 3-2 Raufoss — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 1st Division, 2 Nov 2024

Moss
3-2 HT 3-1
Raufoss
📅02/11/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.64
Draw
24%
3.64
Away
20%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.95
Over 2.5
53%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.81
No
47%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.58
2-3 Goals
39%
1.81
4-5 Goals
26%
3.35
6+ Goals
9%
12.2
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
4%
1/X
11%
X/1
15%
X/2
7%
X/X
8%
2/1
15%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
57%
-1.4pp
24%
Draw
24%
-0.3pp
20%
Away Win
18%
+1.7pp
47%
Under 2.5
48%
-0.4pp
53%
Over 2.5
52%
+0.4pp
53%
BTTS Yes
51%
+1.4pp
47%
BTTS No
49%
-1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Moss EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Raufoss EU Bookmakers 21%
+5% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +15%
1.91/0.59 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.20/1.31
-2% / +86% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / +42%
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
380 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 284 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Moss
2W-1D-0L
AWAY Raufoss
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 8
0 Yellow Cards 2
16.05.2024 Raufoss Raufoss 0-2 HT 0-1 Moss Moss NOR1
03.09.2023 Raufoss Raufoss 1-1 HT 0-1 Moss Moss NOR1
29.05.2023 Moss Moss 1-0 HT 1-0 Raufoss Raufoss NOR1
POST-MATCH Moss vs Raufoss
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Moss squeezed past Raufoss 3-2. Half-time: 3-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Moss as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Moss had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Moss and 0.33 for Raufoss.

What was the final score of Moss vs Raufoss?

Moss 3-2 Raufoss in the Norway - 1st Division on 02/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Moss vs Raufoss?

Before kick-off our model rated a Moss win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Moss 56%, draw 24%, Raufoss 20%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Moss), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Moss) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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