Kongsvinger 0-1 Sogndal — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 1st Division, 2 Nov 2024

📅02/11/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.64
Draw
26%
3.72
Away
27%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
2.0
Over 2.5
44%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.75
No
51%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
28%
3.77
2-3 Goals
41%
1.82
4-5 Goals
21%
3.23
6+ Goals
10%
11.2
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.77 — our 28% vs market 21.3%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
13%
X/2
8%
X/X
11%
2/1
9%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
57%
-9.6pp
26%
Draw
24%
+2.8pp
27%
Away Win
20%
+6.8pp
56%
Under 2.5
46%
+9.3pp
44%
Over 2.5
54%
-9.3pp
49%
BTTS Yes
53%
-4.1pp
51%
BTTS No
47%
+4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kongsvinger EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Sogndal EU Bookmakers 23%
-3% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -7%
1.83/1.22 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.91/1.54
-6% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -22% / +19%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
358 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 223 · 66%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.2 Yellow Cards 1.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kongsvinger
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Sogndal
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 2
22.06.2024 Sogndal Sogndal 2-0 HT 1-0 Kongsvinger Kongsvinger NOR1
19.08.2023 Sogndal Sogndal 3-3 HT 0-1 Kongsvinger Kongsvinger NOR1
29.05.2023 Kongsvinger Kongsvinger 1-0 HT 1-0 Sogndal Sogndal NOR1
03.10.2022 Kongsvinger Kongsvinger 0-0 HT 0-0 Sogndal Sogndal NOR1
09.05.2022 Sogndal Sogndal 2-1 HT 2-1 Kongsvinger Kongsvinger NOR1
28.09.2020 Sogndal Sogndal 5-2 HT 3-0 Kongsvinger Kongsvinger NOR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kongsvinger
0-1
AWAY Sogndal
56% Ball Possession 44%
10 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 4
POST-MATCH Kongsvinger vs Sogndal
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sogndal nicked a narrow win over Kongsvinger 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Kongsvinger at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Kongsvinger had 56% of the ball to Sogndal's 44%, shots finished 10-12.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sogndal led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Kongsvinger and 2.00 for Sogndal.

What was the final score of Kongsvinger vs Sogndal?

Kongsvinger 0-1 Sogndal in the Norway - 1st Division on 02/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kongsvinger vs Sogndal?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kongsvinger win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Kongsvinger 47%, draw 26%, Sogndal 27%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Kongsvinger) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Kongsvinger) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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