Valerenga 1-1 Start — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 1st Division, 2 Nov 2024

📅02/11/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
61%
1.49
Draw
19%
4.49
Away
20%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
35%
2.74
Over 2.5
65%
1.41
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.53
No
43%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
17%
6.37
2-3 Goals
32%
2.11
4-5 Goals
33%
2.53
6+ Goals
18%
5.36
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
37%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
13%
X/2
8%
X/X
9%
2/1
11%
2/2
7%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
61%
Home Win
63%
-1.9pp
19%
Draw
19%
-0.3pp
20%
Away Win
18%
+2.1pp
35%
Under 2.5
33%
+1.8pp
65%
Over 2.5
67%
-1.8pp
57%
BTTS Yes
61%
-4.6pp
43%
BTTS No
39%
+4.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Valerenga EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Start EU Bookmakers 21%
+6% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -6%
2.96/1.09 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.31/2.68
+43% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +29% / -26%
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
364 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 310 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Valerenga
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Start
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.77 xG 1.18
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
421 Passes 259
84% Pass Accuracy 76%
30 Box Touches 13
22 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
20.07.2024 Start Start 1-2 HT 0-0 Valerenga Valerenga NOR1
22.12.2020 Valerenga Valerenga 4-0 HT 3-0 Start Start NOR
17.08.2020 Start Start 2-1 HT 1-0 Valerenga Valerenga NOR
30.09.2018 Valerenga Valerenga 3-2 HT 1-0 Start Start NOR
14.04.2018 Start Start 1-6 HT 1-2 Valerenga Valerenga NOR
03.03.2018 Valerenga Valerenga 2-1 HT 0-0 Start Start HAZ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Valerenga
1-1
AWAY Start
62% Ball Possession 38%
19 Total Shots 11
8 Shots on Target 5
11 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Valerenga vs Start
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Valerenga and Start shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Valerenga at 61% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. On goals, both teams to score (57%) landed while over 2.5 goals (65%) missed.

On the day, Valerenga had 62% of the ball to Start's 38%, shots finished 19-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Valerenga had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for Valerenga and 1.17 for Start.

What was the final score of Valerenga vs Start?

Valerenga 1-1 Start in the Norway - 1st Division on 02/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Valerenga vs Start?

Before kick-off our model rated a Valerenga win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Valerenga 61%, draw 19%, Start 20%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Valerenga), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Valerenga) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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