Aalesund 4-3 Levanger — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 1st Division, 2 Nov 2024

📅02/11/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.64
Draw
27%
3.72
Away
26%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.1
Over 2.5
48%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.7
No
46%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
4.09
2-3 Goals
39%
1.85
4-5 Goals
24%
3.07
6+ Goals
11%
9.78
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.09 — our 26% vs market 19.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
10%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
10%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
57%
-10.4pp
27%
Draw
24%
+3.2pp
26%
Away Win
19%
+7.2pp
52%
Under 2.5
44%
+8.3pp
48%
Over 2.5
56%
-8.3pp
54%
BTTS Yes
55%
-1.2pp
46%
BTTS No
45%
+1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aalesund EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Levanger EU Bookmakers 22%
-1% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +7%
1.81/1.42 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.32/2.02
-7% / -24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / -10%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
352 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 310 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.1 Yellow Cards 1.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Aalesund
2W-0D-1L
AWAY Levanger
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 6
8 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 1
16.06.2024 Levanger Levanger 4-0 HT 3-0 Aalesund Aalesund NOR1
04.11.2018 Aalesund Aalesund 4-0 HT 0-0 Levanger Levanger NOR1
08.04.2018 Levanger Levanger 1-2 HT 1-1 Aalesund Aalesund NOR1
POST-MATCH Aalesund vs Levanger
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Aalesund nicked a narrow win over Levanger 4-3. Half-time: 2-1. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Aalesund as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 4-3 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Aalesund had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Aalesund and 1.67 for Levanger.

What was the final score of Aalesund vs Levanger?

Aalesund 4-3 Levanger in the Norway - 1st Division on 02/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Aalesund vs Levanger?

Before kick-off our model rated a Aalesund win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Aalesund 47%, draw 27%, Levanger 26%. The final score 4-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Aalesund), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Aalesund) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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