Puszcza Niepolomice 0-3 Pogon Szczecin — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - Cup, 1 Apr 2025

📅01/04/2025 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
3.69
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
51%
1.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.97
Over 2.5
51%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.73
No
50%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
25%
3.51
2-3 Goals
40%
1.79
4-5 Goals
24%
3.18
6+ Goals
11%
11.1
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.51 — our 25% vs market 22.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
6.69
1/2
10%
22.9
1/X
8%
14.9
X/1
7%
8.78
X/2
20%
4.49
X/X
10%
5.21
2/1
6%
35.0
2/2
21%
2.38
2/X
7%
13.65
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
24%
+0.0pp
25%
Draw
25%
+0.1pp
52%
Away Win
52%
-0.0pp
49%
Under 2.5
47%
+2.5pp
51%
Over 2.5
53%
-2.5pp
50%
BTTS Yes
54%
-3.4pp
50%
BTTS No
46%
+3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Puszcza Niepolomice EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Pogon Szczecin EU Bookmakers 56%
+7% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -13% / -13%
2.15/2.36 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.75/0.75
+63% / -32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -53% / +88%
41% Ball Possession 59%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
190 · 66% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 361 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Puszcza Niepolomice
0W-0D-3L
AWAY Pogon Szczecin
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.40 xG 1.64
37% Ball Possession 63%
11 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
192 Passes 377
68% Pass Accuracy 82%
23 Box Touches 28
19 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 2
25.10.2024 Pogon Szczecin Pogon Szczecin 2-1 HT 1-0 Puszcza Niepolomice Puszcza Niepolomice POL
06.05.2024 Pogon Szczecin Pogon Szczecin 1-0 HT 0-0 Puszcza Niepolomice Puszcza Niepolomice POL
04.11.2023 Puszcza Niepolomice Puszcza Niepolomice 0-2 HT 0-0 Pogon Szczecin Pogon Szczecin POL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Puszcza Niepolomice
0-3
AWAY Pogon Szczecin
44% Ball Possession 56%
7 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Puszcza Niepolomice vs Pogon Szczecin
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pogon Szczecin cruised past Puszcza Niepolomice 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Pogon Szczecin as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Puszcza Niepolomice had 44% of the ball to Pogon Szczecin's 56%, shots finished 7-13.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Pogon Szczecin led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Puszcza Niepolomice and 1.67 for Pogon Szczecin.

What was the final score of Puszcza Niepolomice vs Pogon Szczecin?

Puszcza Niepolomice 0-3 Pogon Szczecin in the Poland - Cup on 01/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Puszcza Niepolomice vs Pogon Szczecin?

Before kick-off our model rated an Pogon Szczecin win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Puszcza Niepolomice 24%, draw 25%, Pogon Szczecin 52%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Pogon Szczecin), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Pogon Szczecin) ✓ Over 2.5
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