Boavista 1-3 Gil Vicente — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - Premier League, 1 Apr 2025

📅01/04/2025 · 🕒22:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.99
Draw
32%
2.94
Away
37%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
1.52
Over 2.5
35%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.03
No
56%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2.28
2-3 Goals
44%
1.78
4-5 Goals
15%
5.13
6+ Goals
7%
31.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
5.11
1/2
7%
33.5
1/X EV+ ✗
12%
14.7
X/1
14%
6.32
X/2
15%
4.9
X/X
16%
3.74
2/1
6%
35.0
2/2
14%
3.46
2/X
5%
14.15
Value flag · 1/X at 14.7 — our 12% vs market 4.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 65%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
30%
+0.6pp
33%
Draw
31%
+2.0pp
37%
Away Win
39%
-2.5pp
65%
Under 2.5
62%
+3.5pp
35%
Over 2.5
38%
-3.5pp
44%
BTTS Yes
45%
-0.7pp
56%
BTTS No
55%
+0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Boavista EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Gil Vicente EU Bookmakers 43%
+1% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -18% / -36%
1.26/1.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.22/1.22
-15% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -40% / -23%
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
253 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 394 · 80%
17.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.6
22.0 Crosses 18.9
2.9 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Boavista
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Gil Vicente
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.37 xG 1.42
44% Ball Possession 56%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
299 Passes 388
79% Pass Accuracy 83%
19 Box Touches 20
19 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 2
02.11.2024 Gil Vicente Gil Vicente 1-2 HT 0-0 Boavista Boavista POR
04.05.2024 Boavista Boavista 1-1 HT 1-1 Gil Vicente Gil Vicente POR
30.12.2023 Gil Vicente Gil Vicente 1-0 HT 0-0 Boavista Boavista POR
12.05.2023 Gil Vicente Gil Vicente 3-1 HT 1-0 Boavista Boavista POR
08.01.2023 Boavista Boavista 1-0 HT 1-0 Gil Vicente Gil Vicente POR
15.01.2022 Boavista Boavista 1-1 HT 1-0 Gil Vicente Gil Vicente POR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Boavista
1-3
AWAY Gil Vicente
1.19 xG 1.29
38% Ball Possession 62%
7 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 9
3 Corners 3
198 Passes 392
75% Pass Accuracy 84%
19 Box Touches 19
22 Crosses 9
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Boavista vs Gil Vicente
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gil Vicente got the better of Boavista 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (31% / 33% / 37%) promised a tight game; Gil Vicente found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (65%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Boavista had 38% of the ball to Gil Vicente's 62%, shots finished 7-14, expected goals 1.19 to 1.29.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Boavista and 1.17 for Gil Vicente.

What was the final score of Boavista vs Gil Vicente?

Boavista 1-3 Gil Vicente in the Portugal - Premier League on 01/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Boavista vs Gil Vicente?

Before kick-off our model rated an Gil Vicente win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Boavista 31%, draw 33%, Gil Vicente 37%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gil Vicente) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Gil Vicente) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →