Gil Vicente 1-2 Boavista — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - Premier League, 2 Nov 2024

📅02/11/2024 · 🕒23:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.75
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
26%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.68
Over 2.5
45%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.99
No
56%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.77
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals
20%
4.21
6+ Goals
11%
20.65
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
2.32
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
6%
15.15
X/1
18%
3.87
X/2
10%
9.09
X/X
13%
4.42
2/1
8%
26.5
2/2
11%
7.64
2/X
5%
16.05
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
54%
-4.1pp
24%
Draw
26%
-1.9pp
26%
Away Win
20%
+5.9pp
55%
Under 2.5
56%
-0.9pp
45%
Over 2.5
44%
+0.9pp
44%
BTTS Yes
46%
-1.9pp
56%
BTTS No
54%
+1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gil Vicente EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Boavista EU Bookmakers 23%
+7% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +1%
1.49/0.83 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.97/1.38
+8% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / +2%
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
370 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 252 · 74%
22.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.9
15.8 Crosses 15.0
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gil Vicente
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Boavista
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.45 xG 1.19
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
392 Passes 311
83% Pass Accuracy 79%
18 Box Touches 19
16 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 3
04.05.2024 Boavista Boavista 1-1 HT 1-1 Gil Vicente Gil Vicente POR
30.12.2023 Gil Vicente Gil Vicente 1-0 HT 0-0 Boavista Boavista POR
12.05.2023 Gil Vicente Gil Vicente 3-1 HT 1-0 Boavista Boavista POR
08.01.2023 Boavista Boavista 1-0 HT 1-0 Gil Vicente Gil Vicente POR
15.01.2022 Boavista Boavista 1-1 HT 1-0 Gil Vicente Gil Vicente POR
09.08.2021 Gil Vicente Gil Vicente 3-0 HT 2-0 Boavista Boavista POR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gil Vicente
1-2
AWAY Boavista
1.02 xG 1.79
67% Ball Possession 33%
16 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 2
451 Passes 197
84% Pass Accuracy 73%
25 Box Touches 14
29 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Gil Vicente vs Boavista
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Boavista edged past Gil Vicente 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Gil Vicente at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Gil Vicente had 67% of the ball to Boavista's 33%, shots finished 16-13, expected goals 1.02 to 1.79.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Gil Vicente had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Gil Vicente and 0.67 for Boavista.

What was the final score of Gil Vicente vs Boavista?

Gil Vicente 1-2 Boavista in the Portugal - Premier League on 02/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gil Vicente vs Boavista?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gil Vicente win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Gil Vicente 50%, draw 24%, Boavista 26%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Gil Vicente) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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