Farense 1-2 Benfica — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - Premier League, 2 Nov 2024

Farense
1-2 HT 1-1
Benfica
📅02/11/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✓
Portugal - Premier League – 2024/2025

Farense vs Benfica Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
17%
16.01
Draw
21%
6.26
Away
62%
1.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.59
Over 2.5
59%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
2.33
No
49%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
5.71
2-3 Goals
40%
2.03
4-5 Goals
28%
2.62
6+ Goals
13%
6.11
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
32.5
1/2 EV+ ✗
10%
27.5
1/X
5%
34.5
X/1
6%
34.5
X/2
15%
3.39
X/X
9%
10.75
2/1
5%
34.5
2/2
37%
1.25
2/X
7%
34.5
Value flag · 1/2 at 27.5 — our 10% vs market 1.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
17%
Home Win
3%
+13.4pp
21%
Draw
12%
+8.9pp
62%
Away Win
84%
-22.1pp
40%
Under 2.5
35%
+5.7pp
60%
Over 2.5
65%
-5.7pp
51%
BTTS Yes
39%
+12.4pp
49%
BTTS No
61%
-12.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Farense v Benfica — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Farense EU Bookmakers 6%
Head to Head
AWAY Benfica EU Bookmakers 90%
-7% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -4%
0.84/2.67 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.08/0.82
+13% / -30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / +8%
37% Ball Possession 63%
8 Total Shots 18
3 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 7
246 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 502 · 86%
12.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 31.7
13.1 Crosses 20.5
2.5 Yellow Cards 1.8

Farense vs Benfica Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Farense
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Benfica
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.83
1.14 xG 2.76
40% Ball Possession 60%
11 Total Shots 20
5 Shots on Target 9
4 Corners 7
220 Passes 450
68% Pass Accuracy 83%
18 Box Touches 44
16 Crosses 26
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
12.07.2024 Benfica Benfica 5-0 Farense Farense HAZ
22.04.2024 Farense Farense 1-3 HT 1-2 Benfica Benfica POR
08.12.2023 Benfica Benfica 1-1 HT 0-0 Farense Farense POR
21.02.2021 Farense Farense 0-0 HT 0-0 Benfica Benfica POR
04.10.2020 Benfica Benfica 3-2 HT 1-0 Farense Farense POR
18.03.2002 Benfica Benfica 5-0 HT 1-0 Farense Farense POR

Farense 1-2 Benfica — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Farense
1-2
AWAY Benfica
0.78 xG 1.53
30% Ball Possession 70%
9 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 8
204 Passes 593
71% Pass Accuracy 89%
9 Box Touches 35
16 Crosses 31
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Farense vs Benfica
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Benfica squeezed past Farense 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Benfica as the likeliest winner at 62%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (60%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Farense had 30% of the ball to Benfica's 70%, shots finished 9-18, expected goals 0.78 to 1.53.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Benfica led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Farense and 2.83 for Benfica.

What was the final score of Farense vs Benfica?

Farense 1-2 Benfica in the Portugal - Premier League on 02/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Farense vs Benfica?

Before kick-off our model rated an Benfica win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Farense 17%, draw 21%, Benfica 62%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Benfica), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Benfica) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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