Benfica 5-0 Farense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 12 Jul 2024

📅12/07/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.47
Draw
25%
4.34
Away
28%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.63
Over 2.5
54%
1.44
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.55
No
52%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
8%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
16%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
64%
-16.3pp
24%
Draw
20%
+4.6pp
28%
Away Win
16%
+11.7pp
46%
Under 2.5
34%
+12.0pp
54%
Over 2.5
66%
-12.0pp
48%
BTTS Yes
60%
-12.9pp
52%
BTTS No
40%
+12.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Benfica EU Bookmakers 68%
Head to Head
AWAY Farense EU Bookmakers 20%
-20% / -20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +12%
1.57/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/0.00
-21% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% /
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
391 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 352 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.5 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Benfica
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Farense
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
2.76 xG 1.14
63% Ball Possession 37%
21 Total Shots 11
8 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 3
450 Passes 220
83% Pass Accuracy 68%
44 Box Touches 18
26 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
22.04.2024 Farense Farense 1-3 HT 1-2 Benfica Benfica POR
08.12.2023 Benfica Benfica 1-1 HT 0-0 Farense Farense POR
21.02.2021 Farense Farense 0-0 HT 0-0 Benfica Benfica POR
04.10.2020 Benfica Benfica 3-2 HT 1-0 Farense Farense POR
18.03.2002 Benfica Benfica 5-0 HT 1-0 Farense Farense POR
26.10.2001 Farense Farense 0-2 HT 0-1 Benfica Benfica POR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Benfica
5-0
AWAY Farense
46% Ball Possession 54%
18 Total Shots 12
11 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 9
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Benfica vs Farense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Benfica swept aside Farense 5-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Benfica as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 5-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Benfica had 46% of the ball to Farense's 54%, shots finished 18-12.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Benfica had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Benfica and 0.67 for Farense.

What was the final score of Benfica vs Farense?

Benfica 5-0 Farense in the Friendlies on 12/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Benfica vs Farense?

Before kick-off our model rated a Benfica win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Benfica 47%, draw 24%, Farense 28%. The final score 5-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Benfica), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Benfica) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
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