Defensor Sporting 2-0 Miramar Misiones — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uruguay - Premier League, 1 Apr 2025

📅01/04/2025 · 🕒03:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.72
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
27%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.68
Over 2.5
45%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.03
No
54%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
23%
X/2
10%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
13%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
54%
-8.7pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.7pp
28%
Away Win
20%
+8.0pp
55%
Under 2.5
56%
-0.4pp
45%
Over 2.5
44%
+0.4pp
46%
BTTS Yes
45%
+0.7pp
54%
BTTS No
55%
-0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Defensor Sporting EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Miramar Misiones EU Bookmakers 22%
+5% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +0%
1.91/0.56 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.95/1.33
+26% / +62% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / +2%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
365 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 299 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 3.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Defensor Sporting
2W-1D-0L
AWAY Miramar Misiones
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
51% Ball Possession 49%
15 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
30.11.2024 Miramar Misiones Miramar Misiones 0-0 HT 0-0 Defensor Sporting Defensor Sporting URU
02.06.2024 Defensor Sporting Defensor Sporting 3-0 HT 1-0 Miramar Misiones Miramar Misiones URU
02.03.2014 Defensor Sporting Defensor Sporting 2-1 HT 1-0 Miramar Misiones Miramar Misiones URU
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Defensor Sporting
2-0
AWAY Miramar Misiones
68% Ball Possession 32%
13 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 6
11 Corners 1
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Defensor Sporting vs Miramar Misiones
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Defensor Sporting saw off Miramar Misiones 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Defensor Sporting as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Defensor Sporting had 68% of the ball to Miramar Misiones's 32%, shots finished 13-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Defensor Sporting had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Defensor Sporting and 0.33 for Miramar Misiones.

What was the final score of Defensor Sporting vs Miramar Misiones?

Defensor Sporting 2-0 Miramar Misiones in the Uruguay - Premier League on 01/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Defensor Sporting vs Miramar Misiones?

Before kick-off our model rated a Defensor Sporting win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Defensor Sporting 46%, draw 27%, Miramar Misiones 28%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Defensor Sporting), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Defensor Sporting) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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