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Chelsea (K) vs Arsenal (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities
Chelsea (K) v Arsenal (K) — Team-Based Signals
Chelsea (K) vs Arsenal (K) Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
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Chelsea (K) 1-0 Arsenal (K) — Actual Match Statistics
Chelsea (K) found just enough to beat Arsenal (K) 1-0. It stood 0-0 at the interval — everything that mattered happened after the restart.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Chelsea (K) as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (65%), both teams to score (64%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, possession split 59% to 41% in Chelsea (K)'s favour, shots finished 16-22, expected goals 2.52 to 1.81.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Chelsea (K) had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.33 a game for Chelsea (K) against 1.33 for Arsenal (K).
Chelsea (K) vs Arsenal (K) Result & Final Score
Chelsea (K) 1 - 0 Arsenal (K) in the Champions League - Women's on 01/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Chelsea (K) vs Arsenal (K) Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Chelsea (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Chelsea (K) 44%, draw 23%, Arsenal (K) 33%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Chelsea (K)) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.