Indy Eleven vs Union Omaha Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Indy Eleven v Union Omaha — Team-Based Signals
Indy Eleven 1-2 Union Omaha — Actual Match Statistics
Union Omaha edged past Indy Eleven 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match lean was Indy Eleven at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged both teams to score (56%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, Indy Eleven had 30% of the ball to Union Omaha's 70%, shots finished 11-18, expected goals 1.50 to 1.42.
What was the final score of Indy Eleven vs Union Omaha?
Indy Eleven 1-2 Union Omaha in the USA - Open Cup on 01/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Indy Eleven vs Union Omaha?
Before kick-off our model rated a Indy Eleven win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Indy Eleven 41%, draw 26%, Union Omaha 33%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Indy Eleven) went the other way.