Indy Eleven vs Union Omaha Prediction — Model Probabilities
Indy Eleven v Union Omaha — Team-Based Signals
Indy Eleven 1-2 Union Omaha — Actual Match Statistics
Union Omaha edged past Indy Eleven 2-1 on the road. It stood 0-0 at the interval — everything that mattered happened after the restart.
Our pre-match lean was Indy Eleven at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged both teams to score (57%), and that read landed as well.
By the numbers, Indy Eleven had 30% of the ball to Union Omaha's 70%, shots finished 11-18, expected goals 1.50 to 1.42.
Indy Eleven vs Union Omaha Result & Final Score
Indy Eleven 1 - 2 Union Omaha in the USA - Open Cup on 01/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Indy Eleven vs Union Omaha Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Indy Eleven win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Indy Eleven 45%, draw 26%, Union Omaha 29%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Indy Eleven) went the other way.