Asheville City 1-1 One Knoxville — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Open Cup, 1 Apr 2026

📅01/04/2026 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
3.08
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
40%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.21
Over 2.5
51%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.5
No
44%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
17%
X/X
15%
2/1
6%
2/2
17%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
29%
+3.4pp
28%
Draw
26%
+1.5pp
40%
Away Win
45%
-4.9pp
49%
Under 2.5
41%
+8.0pp
51%
Over 2.5
59%
-8.0pp
56%
BTTS Yes
62%
-6.1pp
44%
BTTS No
38%
+6.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Asheville City EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY One Knoxville EU Bookmakers 49%
+13% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +33% / +33%
1.39/0.45 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.67/0.52
-6% / +51% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +111% /
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
347 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 358 · 80%
21.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.0
17.7 Crosses 13.0
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Asheville City
0W-0D-1L
AWAY One Knoxville
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.83 xG 0.86
40% Ball Possession 60%
17 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
193 Passes 330
74% Pass Accuracy 80%
12 Box Touches 25
23 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 2
21.03.2024 Asheville City Asheville City 0-2 HT 0-2 One Knoxville One Knoxville ABDK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Asheville City
1-1
AWAY One Knoxville
2.30 xG 1.30
57% Ball Possession 43%
30 Total Shots 9
13 Shots on Target 6
14 Corners 3
349 Passes 247
78% Pass Accuracy 70%
45 Box Touches 16
37 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Asheville City vs One Knoxville
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Asheville City and One Knoxville shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 32% / 28% / 40% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (56%) came in.

On the day, Asheville City had 57% of the ball to One Knoxville's 43%, shots finished 30-9, expected goals 2.30 to 1.30.

What was the final score of Asheville City vs One Knoxville?

Asheville City 1-1 One Knoxville in the USA - Open Cup on 01/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Asheville City vs One Knoxville?

Before kick-off our model rated an One Knoxville win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Asheville City 32%, draw 28%, One Knoxville 40%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (One Knoxville), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (One Knoxville) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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