Como (K) 3-1 Sampdoria (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italya - Women's Serie A, 1 May 2024

📅01/05/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.18
Draw
32%
3.54
Away
32%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
2.18
Over 2.5
45%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.55
No
52%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
14%
X/X
13%
2/1
4%
2/2
11%
2/X
13%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
42%
-6.3pp
32%
Draw
25%
+7.1pp
32%
Away Win
33%
-0.7pp
55%
Under 2.5
42%
+13.0pp
45%
Over 2.5
58%
-13.0pp
48%
BTTS Yes
60%
-12.1pp
52%
BTTS No
40%
+12.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Como (K) EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Sampdoria (K) EU Bookmakers 37%
-30% / -30% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +1%
0.81/0.77 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.76/1.53
-66% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -77% / +69%
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
330 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 401 · 81%
22.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.5
17.2 Crosses 11.6
0.5 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Como (K)
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Sampdoria (K)
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.21 xG 0.95
60% Ball Possession 40%
12 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 2
354 Passes 228
77% Pass Accuracy 68%
25 Box Touches 16
24 Crosses 11
0 Yellow Cards 2
23.03.2024 Sampdoria (K) Sampdoria (K) 1-0 HT 1-0 Como (K) Como (K) İTKSA
14.01.2024 Como (K) Como (K) 0-1 HT 0-1 Sampdoria (K) Sampdoria (K) İTKSA
07.10.2023 Sampdoria (K) Sampdoria (K) 1-2 HT 0-2 Como (K) Como (K) İTKSA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Como (K)
3-1
AWAY Sampdoria (K)
1.76 xG 1.28
42% Ball Possession 58%
8 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 8
213 Passes 324
67% Pass Accuracy 76%
16 Box Touches 25
11 Crosses 25
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Como (K) vs Sampdoria (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Como (K) got the better of Sampdoria (K) 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (36% / 32% / 32%) promised a tight game; Como (K) found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Como (K) had 42% of the ball to Sampdoria (K)'s 58%, shots finished 8-15, expected goals 1.76 to 1.28.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Sampdoria (K) led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Como (K) and 1.00 for Sampdoria (K).

What was the final score of Como (K) vs Sampdoria (K)?

Como (K) 3-1 Sampdoria (K) in the Italya - Women's Serie A on 01/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Como (K) vs Sampdoria (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Como (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Como (K) 36%, draw 32%, Sampdoria (K) 32%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Como (K)) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Como (K)) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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İTKSA More Italya - Women's Serie A
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