Nottingham Forest 0-2 Brentford — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Premier League, 1 May 2025

📅01/05/2025 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.18
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
34%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under
50%
2.03
Over Pick
50%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.6
No
50%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1
28%
3.8
2-3
38%
1.81
4-5
24%
3.01
6+
10%
9.68
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
3.16
1/2
8%
29.5
1/X
9%
12.2
X/1
14%
5.46
X/2
14%
6.8
X/X
11%
5.01
2/1
6%
24.65
2/2
13%
4.46
2/X
7%
12.6
Value flag · 1/2 at 29.5 — our 8% vs market 1.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 50%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
39%
Home Win
42%
-2.9pp
27%
Draw
27%
-0.4pp
34%
Away Win
31%
+3.5pp
50%
Under 2.5
45%
+4.3pp
50%
Over 2.5
55%
-4.3pp
50%
BTTS Yes
58%
-8.6pp
50%
BTTS No
42%
+8.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nottingham Forest The Market 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Brentford The Market 34%
+13% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +9%
1.54/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.56/1.07
+24% / +67% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +18% / +22%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
360 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 347 · 78%
25.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.2
17.7 Crosses 18.0
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nottingham Forest
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Brentford
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.89 xG 1.63
43% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 7
298 Passes 404
77% Pass Accuracy 81%
15 Box Touches 28
16 Crosses 25
3 Yellow Cards 2
21.12.2024 Brentford Brentford 0-2 HT 0-1 Nottingham Forest Nottingham Forest İNP
20.01.2024 Brentford Brentford 3-2 HT 1-1 Nottingham Forest Nottingham Forest İNP
01.10.2023 Nottingham Forest Nottingham Forest 1-1 HT 0-0 Brentford Brentford İNP
29.04.2023 Brentford Brentford 2-1 HT 0-1 Nottingham Forest Nottingham Forest İNP
05.11.2022 Nottingham Forest Nottingham Forest 2-2 HT 1-1 Brentford Brentford İNP
20.03.2021 Brentford Brentford 1-1 HT 1-0 Nottingham Forest Nottingham Forest İNCL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nottingham Forest
0-2
AWAY Brentford
0.90 xG 1.29
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
306 Passes 245
80% Pass Accuracy 76%
35 Box Touches 23
28 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Nottingham Forest vs Brentford
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Brentford got the better of Nottingham Forest 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 27% / 34% — and on the day Brentford made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Nottingham Forest had 55% of the ball to Brentford's 45%, shots finished 14-11, expected goals 0.90 to 1.29.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Brentford led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Nottingham Forest and 1.50 for Brentford.

What was the final score of Nottingham Forest vs Brentford?

Nottingham Forest 0-2 Brentford in the England - Premier League on 01/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nottingham Forest vs Brentford?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nottingham Forest win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Nottingham Forest 39%, draw 27%, Brentford 34%. The final score 0-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Nottingham Forest)
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