Brentford 0-2 Nottingham Forest — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Premier League, 21 Dec 2024

📅21/12/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.33
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
35%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.23
Over 2.5
54%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.49
No
44%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
4.46
2-3 Goals
41%
1.87
4-5 Goals
25%
2.79
6+ Goals
12%
7.84
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
3.39
1/2
6%
27.0
1/X
7%
12.15
X/1
10%
5.79
X/2
12%
6.23
X/X
14%
5.25
2/1 EV+ ✗
9%
25.0
2/2
17%
3.76
2/X
6%
12.2
Value flag · 2/1 at 25.0 — our 9% vs market 1.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
39%
-1.3pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.0pp
35%
Away Win
34%
+0.2pp
46%
Under 2.5
41%
+4.9pp
54%
Over 2.5
59%
-4.9pp
56%
BTTS Yes
63%
-7.6pp
44%
BTTS No
37%
+7.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Brentford EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Nottingham Forest EU Bookmakers 38%
+5% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +31% / +31%
1.68/1.42 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.98/0.76
+30% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +20% / +75%
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
313 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 332 · 75%
28.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.1
20.5 Crosses 18.3
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Brentford
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Nottingham Forest
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.68 xG 0.84
55% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
377 Passes 307
79% Pass Accuracy 77%
25 Box Touches 16
21 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 3
20.01.2024 Brentford Brentford 3-2 HT 1-1 Nottingham Forest Nottingham Forest İNP
01.10.2023 Nottingham Forest Nottingham Forest 1-1 HT 0-0 Brentford Brentford İNP
29.04.2023 Brentford Brentford 2-1 HT 0-1 Nottingham Forest Nottingham Forest İNP
05.11.2022 Nottingham Forest Nottingham Forest 2-2 HT 1-1 Brentford Brentford İNP
20.03.2021 Brentford Brentford 1-1 HT 1-0 Nottingham Forest Nottingham Forest İNCL
12.12.2020 Nottingham Forest Nottingham Forest 1-3 HT 0-1 Brentford Brentford İNCL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Brentford
0-2
AWAY Nottingham Forest
0.72 xG 0.90
64% Ball Possession 36%
7 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 6
9 Corners 5
452 Passes 236
85% Pass Accuracy 78%
38 Box Touches 16
38 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Brentford vs Nottingham Forest
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nottingham Forest saw off Brentford 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (38% / 27% / 35%) promised a tight game; Nottingham Forest found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Brentford had 64% of the ball to Nottingham Forest's 36%, shots finished 7-10, expected goals 0.72 to 0.90.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Brentford had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Brentford and 1.33 for Nottingham Forest.

What was the final score of Brentford vs Nottingham Forest?

Brentford 0-2 Nottingham Forest in the England - Premier League on 21/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Brentford vs Nottingham Forest?

Before kick-off our model rated a Brentford win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Brentford 38%, draw 27%, Nottingham Forest 35%. The final score 0-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Brentford) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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