Ipswich Town 0-4 Newcastle United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Premier League, 21 Dec 2024

Ipswich Town
0-4 HT 0-3
Newcastle United
📅21/12/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
England - Premier League – 2024/2025

Ipswich Town vs Newcastle United Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
3.87
Draw
26%
3.72
Away
49%
1.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.23
Over 2.5
56%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.6
No
47%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
4.42
2-3 Goals
38%
1.87
4-5 Goals
28%
2.8
6+ Goals
10%
7.92
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
6.8
1/2
9%
21.6
1/X
6%
14.25
X/1
7%
9.8
X/2
12%
4.34
X/X
8%
5.71
2/1
7%
34.5
2/2
28%
2.19
2/X EV+ ✗
12%
13.65
Value flag · 2/X at 13.65 — our 12% vs market 4.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
22%
+2.4pp
26%
Draw
23%
+2.4pp
49%
Away Win
54%
-4.9pp
44%
Under 2.5
41%
+3.2pp
56%
Over 2.5
59%
-3.2pp
53%
BTTS Yes
58%
-4.9pp
47%
BTTS No
42%
+4.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Ipswich Town v Newcastle United — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ipswich Town EU Bookmakers 26%
Head to Head
AWAY Newcastle United EU Bookmakers 58%
-11% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -7%
1.14/1.65 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.03/1.28
-13% / +16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / +12%
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 8
276 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 358 · 78%
19.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 34.3
16.7 Crosses 18.6
2.6 Yellow Cards 1.7

Ipswich Town vs Newcastle United Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ipswich Town
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Newcastle United
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
41% Ball Possession 59%
8 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
210 Passes 350
64% Pass Accuracy 72%
16 Box Touches 15
12 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
17.04.2017 Ipswich Town Ipswich Town 3-1 HT 1-0 Newcastle United Newcastle United İNCL
22.10.2016 Newcastle United Newcastle United 3-0 HT 1-0 Ipswich Town Ipswich Town İNCL
24.04.2010 Newcastle United Newcastle United 2-2 HT 1-1 Ipswich Town Ipswich Town İNCL
26.09.2009 Ipswich Town Ipswich Town 0-4 HT 0-3 Newcastle United Newcastle United İNCL
16.03.2002 Newcastle United Newcastle United 2-2 HT 0-0 Ipswich Town Ipswich Town İNP
09.12.2001 Ipswich Town Ipswich Town 0-1 HT 0-1 Newcastle United Newcastle United İNP

Ipswich Town 0-4 Newcastle United — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ipswich Town
0-4
AWAY Newcastle United
0.73 xG 2.33
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 1
357 Passes 537
83% Pass Accuracy 87%
20 Box Touches 35
12 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Ipswich Town vs Newcastle United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Newcastle United swept aside Ipswich Town 4-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-3.

As we said in the preview, our model had Newcastle United as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Ipswich Town had 42% of the ball to Newcastle United's 58%, shots finished 10-15, expected goals 0.73 to 2.33.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Newcastle United led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Ipswich Town and 2.17 for Newcastle United.

What was the final score of Ipswich Town vs Newcastle United?

Ipswich Town 0-4 Newcastle United in the England - Premier League on 21/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ipswich Town vs Newcastle United?

Before kick-off our model rated an Newcastle United win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Ipswich Town 25%, draw 26%, Newcastle United 49%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Newcastle United), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Newcastle United) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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