Crystal Palace vs Arsenal Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Crystal Palace v Arsenal — Team-Based Signals
Crystal Palace vs Arsenal Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-1
HT 0-0
Arsenal
İNP
4-1
HT 2-0
Crystal Palace
İNP
0-2
HT 0-1
Arsenal
İNP
3-0
HT 2-0
Arsenal
İNP
Crystal Palace 1-5 Arsenal — Actual Match Statistics
Arsenal swept aside Crystal Palace 5-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-3. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Arsenal as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.
On the day, Crystal Palace had 42% of the ball to Arsenal's 58%, shots finished 15-14, expected goals 1.59 to 2.92.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Arsenal led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Crystal Palace and 2.50 for Arsenal.
What was the final score of Crystal Palace vs Arsenal?
Crystal Palace 1-5 Arsenal in the England - Premier League on 21/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Crystal Palace vs Arsenal?
Before kick-off our model rated an Arsenal win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Crystal Palace 29%, draw 26%, Arsenal 45%. The final score 1-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Arsenal) — while BTTS No went the other way.