Atletico Tucuman 2-0 Independiente — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - Premier League, 1 May 2025

Atletico Tucuman
2-0 HT 1-0
Independiente
📅01/05/2025 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Argentina - Premier League – 2025

Atletico Tucuman vs Independiente Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.94
Draw
31%
2.94
Away
32%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.54
Over 2.5
41%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.99
No
55%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2.3
2-3 Goals
38%
1.75
4-5 Goals
19%
4.83
6+ Goals
9%
28.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
4.9
1/2
6%
33.5
1/X
7%
14.2
X/1
16%
6.24
X/2
12%
5.08
X/X
14%
3.75
2/1
7%
35.0
2/2
13%
3.56
2/X
11%
13.75
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
31%
+6.1pp
31%
Draw
31%
+0.6pp
32%
Away Win
39%
-6.8pp
59%
Under 2.5
61%
-1.7pp
41%
Over 2.5
39%
+1.7pp
45%
BTTS Yes
46%
-1.1pp
55%
BTTS No
54%
+1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Atletico Tucuman v Independiente — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atletico Tucuman EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Independiente EU Bookmakers 43%
-3% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -8%
1.26/1.26 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.88/0.97
-9% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -34% / +12%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
263 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 308 · 74%
19.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.0
19.8 Crosses 18.8
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.9

Atletico Tucuman vs Independiente Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atletico Tucuman
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Independiente
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.87 xG 1.43
38% Ball Possession 62%
7 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 8
195 Passes 366
68% Pass Accuracy 80%
12 Box Touches 26
13 Crosses 28
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
10.12.2024 Independiente Independiente 2-1 HT 1-0 Atletico Tucuman Atletico Tucuman ARJ
01.04.2024 Independiente Independiente 1-1 HT 0-1 Atletico Tucuman Atletico Tucuman ARJ
05.11.2023 Atletico Tucuman Atletico Tucuman 1-2 HT 1-0 Independiente Independiente ARJ
23.07.2023 Atletico Tucuman Atletico Tucuman 1-0 HT 1-0 Independiente Independiente ARJ
24.07.2022 Independiente Independiente 0-1 HT 0-1 Atletico Tucuman Atletico Tucuman ARJ
24.06.2022 Atletico Tucuman Atletico Tucuman 0-1 HT 0-0 Independiente Independiente ARJK

Atletico Tucuman 2-0 Independiente — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Atletico Tucuman
2-0
AWAY Independiente
1.91 xG 0.63
35% Ball Possession 65%
8 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 3
163 Passes 369
67% Pass Accuracy 80%
16 Box Touches 18
17 Crosses 21
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Atletico Tucuman vs Independiente
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atletico Tucuman beat Independiente 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (37% / 31% / 32%) promised a tight game; Atletico Tucuman found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Atletico Tucuman had 35% of the ball to Independiente's 65%, shots finished 8-12, expected goals 1.91 to 0.63.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Independiente led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Atletico Tucuman and 1.00 for Independiente.

What was the final score of Atletico Tucuman vs Independiente?

Atletico Tucuman 2-0 Independiente in the Argentina - Premier League on 01/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atletico Tucuman vs Independiente?

Before kick-off our model rated a Atletico Tucuman win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Atletico Tucuman 37%, draw 31%, Independiente 32%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Atletico Tucuman), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Atletico Tucuman) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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