Independiente vs Atletico Tucuman Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Independiente v Atletico Tucuman — Team-Based Signals
Independiente vs Atletico Tucuman Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-2
HT 1-0
Independiente
ARJ
1-0
HT 1-0
Independiente
ARJ
0-1
HT 0-1
Atletico Tucuman
ARJ
0-1
HT 0-0
Independiente
ARJK
2-0
HT 0-0
Independiente
ARJ
Independiente 2-1 Atletico Tucuman — Actual Match Statistics
Independiente nicked a narrow win over Atletico Tucuman 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Independiente as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (62%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Independiente had 65% of the ball to Atletico Tucuman's 35%, shots finished 21-6, expected goals 3.48 to 0.54 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Independiente's control.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Atletico Tucuman led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Independiente and 1.00 for Atletico Tucuman.
What was the final score of Independiente vs Atletico Tucuman?
Independiente 2-1 Atletico Tucuman in the Argentina - Premier League on 10/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Independiente vs Atletico Tucuman?
Before kick-off our model rated a Independiente win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Independiente 47%, draw 27%, Atletico Tucuman 26%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Independiente) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.