Belgrano Cordoba 2-2 Estudiantes — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - Premier League, 10 Dec 2024

📅10/12/2024 · 🕒01:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.53
Draw
28%
2.94
Away
34%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.59
Over 2.5
39%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.95
No
58%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
36%
2.36
2-3 Goals
39%
1.71
4-5 Goals
17%
4.53
6+ Goals
8%
25.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.36 — our 36% vs market 34.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
4.07
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
9%
13.45
X/1
17%
5.52
X/2
12%
5.53
X/X
11%
3.74
2/1
7%
34.5
2/2
16%
4.08
2/X
7%
13.45
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
36%
+1.6pp
28%
Draw
30%
-2.5pp
34%
Away Win
34%
+0.8pp
61%
Under 2.5
59%
+2.2pp
39%
Over 2.5
41%
-2.2pp
42%
BTTS Yes
47%
-5.2pp
58%
BTTS No
53%
+5.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Belgrano Cordoba EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Estudiantes EU Bookmakers 37%
+1% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +2%
1.10/0.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.19/0.89
+15% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / +3%
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
249 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 316 · 76%
17.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.9
22.6 Crosses 17.7
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Belgrano Cordoba
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Estudiantes
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.31 xG 1.54
43% Ball Possession 57%
11 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
245 Passes 348
71% Pass Accuracy 78%
17 Box Touches 23
16 Crosses 26
3 Yellow Cards 2
29.01.2024 Estudiantes Estudiantes 1-0 HT 0-0 Belgrano Cordoba Belgrano Cordoba ARJ
18.08.2023 Belgrano Cordoba Belgrano Cordoba 2-1 HT 1-0 Estudiantes Estudiantes ARJ
23.07.2023 Estudiantes Estudiantes 4-0 HT 2-0 Belgrano Cordoba Belgrano Cordoba ARJ
13.07.2022 Belgrano Cordoba Belgrano Cordoba 1-0 HT 0-0 Estudiantes Estudiantes ARJK
25.08.2018 Belgrano Cordoba Belgrano Cordoba 2-1 HT 1-0 Estudiantes Estudiantes ARJ
21.04.2018 Estudiantes Estudiantes 0-1 HT 0-0 Belgrano Cordoba Belgrano Cordoba ARJ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Belgrano Cordoba
2-2
AWAY Estudiantes
0.85 xG 0.84
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 5
9 Corners 3
320 Passes 344
76% Pass Accuracy 83%
29 Box Touches 23
38 Crosses 25
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Belgrano Cordoba vs Estudiantes
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Belgrano Cordoba and Estudiantes couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 1-1.

Our pre-match split (38% / 28% / 34%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Belgrano Cordoba had 51% of the ball to Estudiantes's 49%, shots finished 13-10, expected goals 0.85 to 0.84.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Belgrano Cordoba had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Belgrano Cordoba and 1.17 for Estudiantes.

What was the final score of Belgrano Cordoba vs Estudiantes?

Belgrano Cordoba 2-2 Estudiantes in the Argentina - Premier League on 10/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Belgrano Cordoba vs Estudiantes?

Before kick-off our model rated a Belgrano Cordoba win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Belgrano Cordoba 38%, draw 28%, Estudiantes 34%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Belgrano Cordoba) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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