Argentinos Juniors vs San Lorenzo Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Argentinos Juniors v San Lorenzo — Team-Based Signals
Argentinos Juniors vs San Lorenzo Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-2
HT 0-1
Argentinos Juniors
ARJ
0-1
HT 0-0
San Lorenzo
ARJ
1-1
HT 1-0
San Lorenzo
ARJ
0-1
HT 0-1
Argentinos Juniors
ARJ
1-1
HT 1-0
Argentinos Juniors
ARJ
2-0
HT 1-0
Argentinos Juniors
ARJ
Argentinos Juniors 1-0 San Lorenzo — Actual Match Statistics
Argentinos Juniors edged past San Lorenzo 1-0.
As we said in the preview, our model had Argentinos Juniors as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (69%), no to both teams scoring (64%), and both reads landed as well.
On the day, Argentinos Juniors had 41% of the ball to San Lorenzo's 59%, shots finished 7-14, expected goals 0.41 to 1.30 — on chances, San Lorenzo could feel hard done by.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Argentinos Juniors and 0.83 for San Lorenzo.
What was the final score of Argentinos Juniors vs San Lorenzo?
Argentinos Juniors 1-0 San Lorenzo in the Argentina - Premier League on 10/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Argentinos Juniors vs San Lorenzo?
Before kick-off our model rated a Argentinos Juniors win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Argentinos Juniors 44%, draw 31%, San Lorenzo 25%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Argentinos Juniors), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.