Bali United 4-0 PSIS Semarang — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Indonesia League 1, 1 May 2025

📅01/05/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
1.66
Draw
25%
3.8
Away
34%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under
59%
1.97
Over
41%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
1.76
No Pick
62%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1
35%
2-3
38%
4-5
17%
6+
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
9%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
13%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS No — 62%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Home Win Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
41%
Home Win
56%
-15.3pp
25%
Draw
23%
+2.3pp
34%
Away Win
21%
+13.0pp
59%
Under 2.5
47%
+12.3pp
41%
Over 2.5
53%
-12.3pp
38%
BTTS Yes
53%
-14.8pp
62%
BTTS No
47%
+14.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bali United The Market 60%
Head to Head
AWAY PSIS Semarang The Market 24%
-7% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -10%
1.53/0.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.84/1.41
-6% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / +6%
52% Ball Possession 48%
9 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
328 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 272 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bali United
3W-1D-2L
AWAY PSIS Semarang
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
49% Ball Possession 51%
6 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 4
278 Passes 194
2 Yellow Cards 3
11.12.2024 PSIS Semarang PSIS Semarang 2-1 HT 2-0 Bali United Bali United ENDL1
08.03.2024 Bali United Bali United 2-0 HT 1-0 PSIS Semarang PSIS Semarang ENDL1
22.12.2022 PSIS Semarang PSIS Semarang 0-3 HT 0-2 Bali United Bali United ENDL1
20.02.2022 PSIS Semarang PSIS Semarang 0-1 HT 0-1 Bali United Bali United ENDL1
31.10.2021 Bali United Bali United 0-0 HT 0-0 PSIS Semarang PSIS Semarang ENDL1
15.11.2019 PSIS Semarang PSIS Semarang 1-0 HT 1-0 Bali United Bali United ENDL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bali United
4-0
AWAY PSIS Semarang
48% Ball Possession 52%
21 Total Shots 8
12 Shots on Target 0
13 Corners 9
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Bali United vs PSIS Semarang
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bali United swept aside PSIS Semarang 4-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Bali United as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (62%) landed while under 2.5 goals (59%) missed.

On the day, Bali United had 48% of the ball to PSIS Semarang's 52%, shots finished 21-8.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bali United had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Bali United and 0.50 for PSIS Semarang.

What was the final score of Bali United vs PSIS Semarang?

Bali United 4-0 PSIS Semarang in the Indonesia League 1 on 01/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bali United vs PSIS Semarang?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bali United win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Bali United 41%, draw 25%, PSIS Semarang 34%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bali United), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Bali United) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →